Probability a coin lands on head

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    Head Probability
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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around the variance in the number of flips required until the kth head appears when flipping a coin that lands on heads with a probability p. The problem is situated within the context of probability theory and the negative binomial distribution.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Mathematical reasoning, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants explore the relationship between the number of flips and the occurrence of heads, discussing the negative binomial distribution and its variance. There are questions about the necessary forms and the relevant equations that should be included in the discussion.

Discussion Status

Some participants are seeking clarification on the required format for presenting their problem, while others are attempting to outline the mathematical reasoning behind the variance of the distribution. There is an ongoing exploration of the assumptions and definitions related to the problem.

Contextual Notes

There is mention of a specific form that participants are expected to complete, which includes sections for relevant equations and attempts at a solution. This form appears to be a requirement for engaging in the discussion effectively.

james2000
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For A coin that comes up heads independently with probability p on each flip what is the variance in the number of flips until the kth head appears ?
 
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James, nobody is going to work your homework problems for you. Finish filling out the form showing the relevant equations and what you have tried. Then someone will help you.
 


what form ?
 


in order to get say r heads you need to flip the coin at least r times. thus for x>=r the number of possible ways to get r-1 heads in x-1 trials is (x-1)choose(r-1) without respect to order. on the xth trial we will get the rth success. thus since the trials are independent r of those trials have probability p for heads and x-r the remaining trials are all tails which have probability q = 1-p. we form the product of these total number of success and failures with the number of ways in which they may occur and we arrive at the negative binomial distribution. this distribution has a variance can you look it up and calculate it?
 


james2000 said:
what form ?

The Homework Help Template form that you are provided when you start a new thread here in the Homework Help forums. It has sections where you fill in the relevant equations, and where you show us your attempt at a solution.

It's the form you deleted when you started this thread, apparently.
 

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