Probability, Bivariate Normal Distribution

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves determining the values of a for which the variance of the linear combination aX + Y is minimized, given that X and Y have a bivariate normal distribution. The discussion centers around the variance formula for this combination and its relationship to the correlation between X and Y.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Mathematical reasoning, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the variance formula Var(aX + Y) and its quadratic nature. Questions arise about how to manipulate this equation to match a known answer involving the correlation coefficient. Some participants express uncertainty about their factoring attempts and whether they are using the correct equations.

Discussion Status

The discussion is ongoing, with participants sharing insights and hints. There is recognition of the quadratic form of the variance equation, but no consensus has been reached on how to derive the specific answer from the given information. Some participants are seeking further clarification and assistance.

Contextual Notes

Participants are working under the constraints of homework rules, which may limit the types of assistance they can receive. There is also a focus on understanding the relationship between covariance and correlation in the context of the problem.

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Homework Statement


Let the probability density function of X and Y be bivariate normal. For what values of a is the variance of aX+Y minimum?


Homework Equations


The answer in the book is -p(X,Y)(std dev of X/std dev of Y)


The Attempt at a Solution


I think the equation for Var(aX+Y) is,
Var(aX+Y)=a^2Var(X)+Var(Y)+2aCov(X,Y), but I have no idea how to work this equation to equal the answer in the book.

Any ideas would be much appreciated!
 
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Yes

<br /> Var(aX+Y) = a^2 Var(X) + Var(Y) + 2 a Cov(X,Y)<br />

which, as a function of a, looks like a quadratic function. How about you? (There's a hint here :) )
 
Thanks, Statdad! Your hint was just the insight I needed.
 
I think I spoke too soon, Statdad.

I can see where the equation Var(aX+Y) is a quadratic equation, but I still can't factor the equation to obtain "-p(X,Y)(std dev of Y/std dev of X)" as one of the factors where -p(X,Y) is the negative correlation coefficient.

I am wondering whether I should be working with a different equation.

Any further assistance would be appreciated.
 
Remember p(X,Y) = Cov(X,Y)/sqrt(Var(X)Var(Y)).
 
When I try to factor this equation using the formula we learned in high school, I get

-2Cov(X,Y) +-radical(4Cov^2(X,Y)-4VarXVarY)divided by 2VarX.

Since everything under the radical goes to zero, I am left with

-2Cov(X,Y)/2VarX = Cov(X,Y)/VarX; this is not the answer I should be coming up with.
 
I still need an answer to this problem, so if anyone knows what I'm doing wrong here, I would appreciate the help.
 

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