Probability Theory ; Binomial Distribution?

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a probability problem involving a coin flip and a die roll, where the number of trials until a specific outcome occurs is analyzed. The problem explores the binomial distribution and expectations related to independent random variables.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the inclusion of combinatorial factors in probability expressions and the definition of expectation values. There is confusion regarding the correct formulation of probabilities and expectations for the random variables X and Y.

Discussion Status

Some participants have provided guidance on the definitions of expectation values and the structure of probability expressions. Multiple interpretations of the problem are being explored, particularly regarding the expected values and the probability of equality between X and Y.

Contextual Notes

Participants are working under the constraints of homework rules, which may limit the depth of exploration into the problem. There is an ongoing discussion about the definitions and assumptions related to the random variables involved.

aeubz
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Homework Statement


Now you and your fiend play a different game. You flip your coin until it comes up heads the first time. Let X denote the number of flips needed. Your friend rolls its die until it comes up "3" or "5". The first try let Y denote the number of rolls needed. Assume X and Y are independent; note that X >= 1 and Y >=1. a) Determine P(X=n), n>=1 b) Determine P(Y=n), n>=1 c) Determine E(x) d) Determine E(y) e) Determine P(x=y) f) Given that x = y, determine the expected value of this common value.

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Homework Equations


Binomial Distribution
nCk (P)^k (1-P)^n-k

The Attempt at a Solution


a) nC1 (1/2)(1/2)^n-1 (My friend did not include the nC1)
b) nC1 (1/3)(2/3)^n-1 (My friend did not include the nC1)
c) n*1/2
d) n*1/3
e) nC1 (1/2)(1/2)^n-1 * nC1 (1/3)(2/3)^n-1 (This is weird, my friend integrated from 1 to infinite) he got 1/4??
f) nsubx*psubx + nsuby*psuby (I definitely need help on this one.)
 
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For a) and b), why do you think the nC1 should be in the expression? And for c) and d) the expectation value is a sum over all n. The final expression shouldn't have an 'n' in it. Maybe you'd better review the definition of 'expectation value'.
 
Dick said:
For a) and b), why do you think the nC1 should be in the expression? And for c) and d) the expectation value is a sum over all n. The final expression shouldn't have an 'n' in it. Maybe you'd better review the definition of 'expectation value'.

Ok so the reason nC1 should not be there is because we only care about the n trial. Right? Still a bit confused about the Expected.. If X is geometric with probability p then E(X) = 1/p = 2 and E(Y) = 3? And e) is P(x=y)= sum(n=1 to +oo) 1/6(1/3)^(n-1) = 1/4

f) is still bothering me a little..
 
Last edited:
Right. The first n-1 trials have to be failures, only the last one needs to succeed. And, yes, now I think you have the expectation values right as well. I've got to confess, I'm a little vague on the last one. Probabilility isn't my field, but isn't it sum(n=1 to +oo) n*(1/6)*(1/3)^(n-1)?
 
Dick said:
Right. The first n-1 trials have to be failures, only the last one needs to succeed. And, yes, now I think you have the expectation values right as well. I've got to confess, I'm a little vague on the last one. Probabilility isn't my field, but isn't it sum(n=1 to +oo) n*(1/6)*(1/3)^(n-1)?

Ok ok, so by definition, E[X] = sum(n=1 to +oo) n * f(n) where f(n) is the density function. Yes I agree. Thank you very very much for all your help!
 

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