Statistics, Probability Distribution

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a probability distribution problem involving a dataset of freight purchases by families. The original poster is investigating the probability that at least 5 out of 6 families purchased more than four freights, given a skewed right distribution of the data.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster attempts to analyze the dataset by graphing it and calculating basic statistics, while questioning the applicability of normal distribution due to skewness. Other participants explore combinatorial approaches to determine the number of ways families can purchase freights and suggest treating the problem as a binomial experiment.

Discussion Status

Participants are actively exploring different methods to approach the problem, including combinatorial reasoning and binomial probability calculations. There is no explicit consensus on the best method yet, but various lines of reasoning are being discussed.

Contextual Notes

Some participants question the assumptions regarding independence of family purchases and the uniformity of probability across families. The original poster has noted the probability of purchasing more than four freights and is seeking further clarification on calculating the desired probability.

kuahji
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I have the data set
# of freights - probability
1 - .075
1.5 - .025
2 - .425
2.5 - .150
3 - .125
3.5 - .100
4 - .050
5 - .025
6 - .025

The question is, what is the probability that at least 5 of 6 families purchased more than four freights.

I started with making a graph of the problem & found it was skewed right. With a mean 2.537 & standard deviation 1.002. So I've ruled out using normal distribution because its skewed right. The probability of purchasing more than four freights is .025+.025=.050. But is there a way to calculated the probability that 5 of 6 families purchased more than four?
 
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How many ways can you come up with in which 5 out of 6 families (A, B, C, D, E, and F) purchase at least 4? For example, each family makes 1 purchase. Or 5 families make 1 each. Or one family makes 4, 5, or 6... etc.
 
Last edited:
There should be 216 different ways the 6 families buy between 4 & 6 freights. Take 6^3 to get that result. Then 5^3 should give 125, for 5 families. Or at least I think...
 
Just ended up trying to solve it like I would a binomial experiment. Where I added up the probability of 4 or greater which equaled .1. Then plugged it into the calculator as bnpfd(6,.1,5) to get an answer of 5.4^-5 & dubbed check with the long hand equations. Couldn't think of any other way to solve the problem. But I figured it was either they did or did not purchase 4 or more freights, each person does not effect the other, & probability of success/failure is the same. So hopefully that works, guess I'll see soon enough :).
 

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