Statistics Question: The 3rd Moment of Poisson Distribution

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around finding the third moment, E(X^3), of a Poisson distribution with parameter L. The original poster presents the probability mass function and expresses their attempt to calculate the expectation using the definition of expectation.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Mathematical reasoning, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss the manipulation of the expression for E(X^3) and suggest breaking it down using a known identity involving factorials. There is a focus on recognizing patterns and relationships in the summation.

Discussion Status

Some participants have provided insights into common techniques used in statistics, particularly regarding the manipulation of sums related to moments of distributions. There is an acknowledgment of the complexity involved in calculating higher moments, and the discussion is exploring various approaches without reaching a consensus.

Contextual Notes

The original poster expresses a desire for guidance without receiving direct answers, indicating a preference for hints that encourage independent problem-solving. There is a mention of the challenges associated with calculating moments and the appeal of moment-generating functions.

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Homework Statement



X is a discrete random variable that has a Poisson Distribution with parameter L. Hence, the discrete mass function is [tex]f(x)[/tex] = [tex]L^{x} e^{-L} / x![/tex].

Where L is a real constant, e is the exponential symbol and x! is x factorial.

Without using generating functions, what is [tex]E(X^{3})[/tex]? (the 3rd moment)

Homework Equations



N.A.

The Attempt at a Solution



[tex]E(X^{3})[/tex] = [tex]\Sigma x^{3} L^{x} e^{-L} / x![/tex] from the definition of Expectation. Sigma is summation over all x values.

I think I am suppose to rearrange all the terms in order to get something of the form "{summation that sums to 1} times {answer}" but I totally lost regarding what I should be manipulating the terms into. Or maybe this is the wrong approach?

A little nudging would go a long way...and please don't give me the answer outright! Thanks in advance! :)
 
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You can write:

x^3 = x (x-1)(x-2) + second degree polynomial in x
 
Count Iblis said:
You can write:

x^3 = x (x-1)(x-2) + second degree polynomial in x

This looks so trivial on hindsight! How did you arrive at this insight? Or did you come across this from somewhere?

Thanks a lot! :)
 
I think it's a pretty common trick found in intro statistics courses. I mean the whole idea is that you don't have to compute any sums or integrals, but just recognize how to turn a particular sum or integral into something that is well-known. Since the pmf of the Poisson distribution has the factorial term in the denominator, it's pretty clear why finding E[X(X-1)*...*(X-k+1)] is a good step towards determining E[X^k]. Of course, to actually find E[X^k], you still have to determine E[x], E[x^2], ..., E[X^(k-1)], which still takes time even if you can determine a general formula for E[X(X-1)*...*(X-k+1)]. This is probably one hassle that makes the moment-generating method so attractive. Anyways the same trick applies to other distributions, e.g., the binomial distribution.
 
snipez90 said:
I think it's a pretty common trick found in intro statistics courses. I mean the whole idea is that you don't have to compute any sums or integrals, but just recognize how to turn a particular sum or integral into something that is well-known. Since the pmf of the Poisson distribution has the factorial term in the denominator, it's pretty clear why finding E[X(X-1)*...*(X-k+1)] is a good step towards determining E[X^k]. Of course, to actually find E[X^k], you still have to determine E[x], E[x^2], ..., E[X^(k-1)], which still takes time even if you can determine a general formula for E[X(X-1)*...*(X-k+1)]. This is probably one hassle that makes the moment-generating method so attractive. Anyways the same trick applies to other distributions, e.g., the binomial distribution.

Thanks for the explanation. Sometimes I wonder if my brain is too slow to do mathematics.

But I am oh so addicted. :smile:
 

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