News Stock on Kerry in an IEM free fall

  • Thread starter Thread starter kat
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Fall Free fall
AI Thread Summary
The discussion centers on the significant decline in stock related to John Kerry in the Iowa Electronic Market (IEM), with participants expressing surprise at the market's decisive movements despite the upcoming "October surprises." There is speculation that President Bush will outperform Kerry in the debates, which is influencing market sentiments. The IEM, known for its historical accuracy in predicting election outcomes, is highlighted as a reliable indicator, having closely tracked vote totals in past elections. Participants are keenly observing market fluctuations, particularly during the debates, as they anticipate revealing shifts in stock values.
kat
Messages
42
Reaction score
0
Stock on Kerry in an IEM "free fall"

Market Quotes: Pres04_WTA.html
Quotes current as of 12:31:43 CST, Monday, September 27, 2004.
Symbol Bid Ask Last Low High Average
DEM04_G52 0.061 0.069 0.067 0.067 0.077 0.072
DEM04_L52 0.210 0.219 0.225 0.207 0.232 0.226
REP04_L52 0.230 0.231 0.230 0.217 0.231 0.222
REP04_G52 0.492 0.495 0.495 0.470 0.536 0.491

http://128.255.244.60/quotes/78.html

Surprising with the "october surprises" yet to come. Why are the markets acting so decisive with over a month still to come...I'm betting on Bush mopping the floor with Kerry during the debates...seems I'm not alone.
It will be interesting to see the rise and fall of the market during the debates, 15 minute refreshes Thursday evening will probably be more revealing then any "news" commentary...

Stay tuned... :biggrin:
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Physics news on Phys.org
For those who aren't familiar with the Iowa Electronic Market, it has historically been more accurate than polls since it started in 1988. The IEM has forecasted election results with incredible accuracy, tracking the vote totals of winning candidates of the most recent presidential elections to within 2 tenths of a percentage point.
 
Neat! Neat! (had to say neat twice; forum rules of length)
 
Very interesting. I was completely unaware of this.

Anyways, I'm keeping my eyes on that "floor".
 

Thread 'Predictions for the Nobel Prize in Physics 2025'

Similar to the 2024 thread, here I start the 2025 thread. As always it is getting increasingly difficult to predict, so I will make a list based on other article predictions. You can also leave your prediction here. Here are the predictions of 2024 that did not make it: Peter Shor, David Deutsch and all the rest of the quantum computing community (various sources) Pablo Jarrillo Herrero, Allan McDonald and Rafi Bistritzer for magic angle in twisted graphene (various sources) Christoph...
View full post »
Thread 'My experience as a hostage'

Thread 'My experience as a hostage'

I believe it was the summer of 2001 that I made a trip to Peru for my work. I was a private contractor doing automation engineering and programming for various companies, including Frito Lay. Frito had purchased a snack food plant near Lima, Peru, and sent me down to oversee the upgrades to the systems and the startup. Peru was still suffering the ills of a recent civil war and I knew it was dicey, but the money was too good to pass up. It was a long trip to Lima; about 14 hours of airtime...
View full post »

Hot Threads

Recent Insights

Back
Top