Taking a Limit of a Probability

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on proving that if a sequence of estimators \( W_n \) for \( \theta \) is consistent, then the transformed sequence \( U_n = a_n W_n + b_n \) is also consistent, given that \( \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} a_n = 1 \) and \( \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} b_n = 0 \). The key approach involves analyzing the limit \( \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} P(|a_n W_n + b_n - \theta| < \epsilon) \) and applying the properties of limits for the sequences \( a_n \) and \( b_n \). The discussion emphasizes the need to rigorously justify the application of the consistency of \( W_n \) in this context.

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Homework Statement

I want to show that if I have a consistent sequence of estimators W_n for \theta, i.e. \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} P(|W_n - \theta| &lt; \epsilon) = 1, then U_n = a_nW_n + b_n is also a consistent sequence of estimators for \theta where \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty}a_n = 1 and \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty}b_n = 0.



Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution


We are looking at \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} P(|a_nW_n + b_n - \theta| &lt; \epsilon), which is equivalent to \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} P(-\epsilon &lt; a_nW_n + b_n - \theta &lt; \epsilon) or \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} P(-\epsilon - b_n&lt; a_nW_n - \theta &lt; \epsilon - b_n).
My question is how I can apply what I know about the limits of W_n, a_n, b_n in this expression. While I would like to be able to say that since the an's go to 1 and the bn's to 0 I can apply the consistency of Wn, but I don't know if that is acceptable.
 
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Use the definition of limit for the a and b sequences. Given ϵ > 0 there exists N such that...
 
Yagoda said:

Homework Statement

I want to show that if I have a consistent sequence of estimators W_n for \theta, i.e. \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} P(|W_n - \theta| &lt; \epsilon) = 1, then U_n = a_nW_n + b_n is also a consistent sequence of estimators for \theta where \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty}a_n = 1 and \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty}b_n = 0.



Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution


We are looking at \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} P(|a_nW_n + b_n - \theta| &lt; \epsilon), which is equivalent to \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} P(-\epsilon &lt; a_nW_n + b_n - \theta &lt; \epsilon) or \lim_{n \rightarrow \infty} P(-\epsilon - b_n&lt; a_nW_n - \theta &lt; \epsilon - b_n).
My question is how I can apply what I know about the limits of W_n, a_n, b_n in this expression. While I would like to be able to say that since the an's go to 1 and the bn's to 0 I can apply the consistency of Wn, but I don't know if that is acceptable.

\{-\epsilon - b_n &lt; a_n W_n - \theta &lt; \epsilon -b_n \}<br /> = \left\{ \frac{-\epsilon - b_n + \theta (1 -a_n)}{a_n} <br /> &lt; W_n - \theta &lt; \frac{ \epsilon - b_n + \theta (1-a_n)}{a_n} \right\}
 

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