The Exponential Spread of Ebola

In summary: April 12, 2019.In summary, the conversation revolved around the concern over the Ebola virus outbreak in West Africa and its potential to spread to other parts of the world. Participants discussed the exponential growth of new infections and the difficulty in obtaining reliable data from the affected areas. They also touched on the possibility of the virus spreading to more populated areas with better travel infrastructure. The conversation also mentioned the challenges in containing the virus and the potential for it to continue for years if a vaccine or effective treatment is not developed. Finally, the conversation mentioned the possibility of some individuals in West Africa having natural immunity to the virus.
  • #141
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/16/us-health-ebola-relapse-idUSKCN0S91ZN20151016

The case of Pauline Cafferkey, the first person known to have recovered from Ebola and then suffer an apparently life-threatening relapse, is taking scientists into uncharted territory.

The Scottish nurse's critically ill situation, described as "staggering" by one British virologist, signals just how complex and formidable a foe the Ebola virus may turn out to be now that scientists have the chance to study its survivors.
...
"Even if you don't have the virus in your bloodstream it can be hiding out," said Messaoudi. "And we need to be aware of that because it's setting up the stage for potentially new outbreaks."

For now, she said, the key message amid all the unknowns is "it's not over when we think it's over."
 
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  • #142
nsaspook said:
http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/16/us-health-ebola-relapse-idUSKCN0S91ZN20151016

That's horrible, and terrifying. But I wonder why it took a Westerner relapsing to get noticed? Are relapses not happening to African survivors?
 
  • #143
Assuming that the nurse is contagious again, do the protocols need to change? The ones who have recovered have been released back into the general public. But, since they can relapse, should they be considered a potential public danger for the rest of their life?
 
  • #145
WHO declares Ebola outbreak over as Liberia gets all-clear
http://news.yahoo.com/declares-worst-ever-ebola-outbreak-over-092344314.html

Monrovia (AFP) - The world breathed a sigh of relief Thursday as a two-year Ebola epidemic that killed 11,000 and triggered a global health alert was declared over, with Liberia the last country to get the all-clear.

The deadliest outbreak in the history of the feared tropical virus wrecked the economies and health systems of the three worst-hit west African nations after it emerged in southern Guinea in December 2013
 
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  • #147
Yes - it appears that the Ebola virus (or viruses) are lurking in the environment.

Ebola virus: New case emerges in Sierra Leone
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-35320363

Ebola is back … or never left
http://www.sciencemag.org/news/2016/01/ebola-back-or-never-left
Just hours after the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the Ebola outbreak in West Africa over on Thursday, Sierra Leone reported a new case of the disease to WHO. A 22-year-old woman, who had died earlier in the week, had tested positive for the virus. . . .

The details of the case are troubling. The young woman was a student in Lunsar, a town in the district of Port Loko, says Christopher Dye of WHO. Around Christmas she traveled from there to Kambia district, closer to the border with Guinea, and stayed there until 6 January. “We suspect that was the time of onset of the illness,” Dye says. “Having become ill she decided to go home, and her family home is in Tonkalili.” The young woman went to a hospital but was not recognized as an Ebola case. “She got progressively worse and died. The process of preparing her body for burial and the burial itself were done unsafely,” Dye says. “That is of course not what we would have liked to have seen happen in light of all the Ebola cases we had.”
. . . .
 
  • #149

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