Three independent random variables having Normal distribution

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around three independent random variables, each following a Normal distribution with a specified mean and variance. The problem involves calculating the expected number of these variables that exceed a certain value and evaluating the associated probability.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants explore the relationship between the random variables and the conditions for counting those exceeding a threshold. There is discussion on modeling the count as a binomial distribution and calculating probabilities using the standard normal distribution.

Discussion Status

Participants are actively engaging with the problem, with some providing calculations and others questioning the accuracy of those calculations. There is an ongoing examination of rounding practices and their implications for the final results.

Contextual Notes

There is mention of specific constraints from the exam paper regarding rounding, which has led to differing opinions on calculation methods. The exact nature of the problem and the parameters involved are being scrutinized for clarity.

DottZakapa
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Homework Statement
Let ##X_1 X_2 X_3 ## be three independent random variables having Normal(Gaussian ) distribution, all with mean ##\mu##=20 and variance ##\sigma^2##=9. Also let ##S=X_1+ X_2 +X_3## and let ##N## be the number of the ##X_i## assuming values greater than 25.
Relevant Equations
Probability
Let ##X_1 X_2 X_3 ## be three independent random variables having Normal(Gaussian ) distribution, all with mean ##\mu##=20 and variance ##\sigma^2##=9. Also let ##S=X_1+ X_2 +X_3## and let ##N## be the number of the ##X_i## assuming values greater than 25.

##E\left[N\right]##=?

I did not understand how to proceed also in the evaluation of the Probability P[N>25]
 
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Should I consider that the total number of ##X_i## is 3, so, among these three random variables i have to check how many of them will satisfy the condition of being larger than ##25##?
in such way ##N## is a binomial distribution. with first parameter## = 3## (because the set of random variables is finite and is equal to ##3##) the second parameter can be found solving:

##p= P\left[X_i>25\right]=P\left[Z>\frac {25-\mu}{\sigma}\right]=P\left[Z>1,66\right]=1-P\left[Z<1,66\right]= 1-0,9515= 0,05##

now i have all the parameters
##N\sim Bin(n=3, p=0,05)##

So

##E\left[N \right]##= ##n*p##=3*0,05
 
Looks good except ##1-0.9515 = 0.0485## not 0.05.
 
vela said:
Looks good except ##1-0.9515 = 0.0485## not 0.05.
rounding at two digits
 
I figured, but there's no good reason to. Also, if you're going to round, it's generally best to do that as a last step, not in the middle of a calculation where the error introduced by rounding will propagate forward.
 
vela said:
I figured, but there's no good reason to. Also, if you're going to round, it's generally best to do that as a last step, not in the middle of a calculation where the error introduced by rounding will propagate forward.
I agree with you but it was explicitly requested in the text, wasn't my choice. other way there would be no match with the possible answers.
 
DottZakapa said:
I agree with you but it was explicitly requested in the text, wasn't my choice. other way there would be no match with the possible answers.
That is illogical.
@vela is saying you should have written 3*0.0485=0.1455 and then rounded to 0.15. As it happens, it would have made no difference, but suppose p had had the value 0.0475 instead. Your way you would still have got 0.15, but found no match in the offered answers because you should have got 0.14.
 
haruspex said:
That is illogical.
@vela is saying you should have written 3*0.0485=0.1455 and then rounded to 0.15. As it happens, it would have made no difference, but suppose p had had the value 0.0475 instead. Your way you would still have got 0.15, but found no match in the offered answers because you should have got 0.14.

In the following, the screenshot of the exam paper, logical or not logica, I did not write the exam.

Screen Shot 2020-09-11 at 16.21.43.png
 

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