Uncertainties in climate models

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around uncertainties in climate models, particularly focusing on the sources of these uncertainties and the availability of specific model references. Participants inquire about uncertainties related to input data, modeling factors, and discretization, as well as the accessibility of model code.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • One participant requests references that detail the sources of uncertainties for a specific climate model, including estimates of their values.
  • Several participants suggest searching for information related to RCP8.5, but do not provide specific references addressing the original questions posed.
  • Another participant expresses frustration at not finding a comprehensive source that summarizes all uncertainties for a specific model.
  • A later reply indicates that discussions on climate change are limited to verified science, suggesting a boundary on the scope of the discussion.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on specific references or sources of uncertainty in climate models, and the discussion remains unresolved regarding the availability of comprehensive information.

Contextual Notes

Participants express limitations in finding specific references that cover all uncertainties for a model, indicating a potential gap in available literature or resources.

kdv
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I have seen that many posters here seem to be very knowledgeable about the man made climate "emergency".

So someone can surely point out a reference where all the sources of uncertainties for at least one specific model are provided with an estimate of their values (for examples, uncertainties in the data used as input, uncertainties due to modelling of various factors (cloud cover, etc ), uncertainties due to discretization, etc). Also, are there any of these models whose code is available to the public?

Thank you in advance to those who are knowledgeable about this topic.
 
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Google RCP8.5
 
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phinds said:
Google RCP8.5
Thank you. I had googled several of these scenarios but never found any references that specifically address the questions I raised in my first post. So if anyone know of a specific reference covering these questions, I would be grateful.
 
Keith_McClary said:
Thank you. Yes, this is helpful. I had looked at many of these but could not find a source that included all the uncertainties summarized and given for a specific model, so I was hoping someone would know of a specific source that would provide this. But I guess I will have to follow your suggestion and try to gather all the details from various sources.
 
We don't discuss climate change outside of the verified science, so this thread is locked. I know there is a lot of doubt and discrepancies, which is why we can't control discussions here.
 
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