What Is the Long-Term Fish Population in This Infinite Series Problem?

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a fish population model where the population increases at a rate of 1.4% per month while 119 fish are harvested monthly. The original poster seeks to determine the long-term population using an infinite series, starting with an initial population of 4500 fish.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Mathematical reasoning, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants explore the setup of the population model, questioning how to express the relationship between the population at successive months. There is uncertainty about whether the population values represent the population before or after harvesting.

Discussion Status

Participants are actively discussing the formulation of the recurrence relation for the fish population. Some suggest rewriting the equation to simplify it into a geometric progression, while others express confusion about how to manipulate the equation without direct recursion. There are concerns raised about the implications of the parameters on the long-term behavior of the population.

Contextual Notes

There is ambiguity regarding the original problem statement, particularly concerning the conditions under which the population would stabilize or decline. Participants are considering the implications of the growth rate and harvest rate on the sustainability of the fish population.

Burjam
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Homework Statement



A fishery manager knows that her fish population naturally increases at a rate of 1.4% per month, while 119
fish are harvested each month. Let Fn be the fish population after the nth month, where F0 = 4500 fish. Assume that that process continues indefinitely. Use the infinite series to find the long-term (steady-state) population of the fish exactly.

Homework Equations

The Attempt at a Solution



My issue is that I can't seem to set up an expression to evaluate the series. I know that the expression will involve subtracting 119 and use 0.014 to represent the percent increase. If it were only the percent increase, I would be able to set up an expression. But the -119 is really throwing me off.
 
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Burjam said:

Homework Statement



A fishery manager knows that her fish population naturally increases at a rate of 1.4% per month, while 119
fish are harvested each month. Let Fn be the fish population after the nth month, where F0 = 4500 fish. Assume that that process continues indefinitely. Use the infinite series to find the long-term (steady-state) population of the fish exactly.

Homework Equations

The Attempt at a Solution



My issue is that I can't seem to set up an expression to evaluate the series. I know that the expression will involve subtracting 119 and use 0.014 to represent the percent increase. If it were only the percent increase, I would be able to set up an expression. But the -119 is really throwing me off.
The question does not make clear whether the Fn represent the population just after a harvest or just before. I would take it as just after.
If the population is Fn after the nth month what will it be after one more month?
 
Fn+1 = Fn(1 + 0.014) - 119?
 
Burjam said:
Fn+1 = Fn(1 + 0.014) - 119?
Right. Do you know a way to solve such equations? If not, an easy thing to try is to see if you can add a constant to each Fn so that it reduces to a simple geometric progression.
 
haruspex said:
Right. Do you know a way to solve such equations? If not, an easy thing to try is to see if you can add a constant to each Fn so that it reduces to a simple geometric progression.

I don't know how to write this equation without Fn being in terms of Fn+1 or Fn-1.
 
Burjam said:
I don't know how to write this equation without Fn being in terms of Fn+1 or Fn-1.
It will be the same equation, but written in the form (Fn+1+c)=a(Fn+c) for some pair of constants a and c.
 
haruspex said:
It will be the same equation, but written in the form (Fn+1+c)=a(Fn+c) for some pair of constants a and c.

How will adding the c to both sides eliminate the Fn+1? None of the problems I have done or have examples of with infinite series so far have anything like this, so I don't really have anything to go by.
 
Burjam said:
How will adding the c to both sides eliminate the Fn+1?
I did not suggest it would.
You have this equation: Fn+1 = Fn(1 + 0.014) - 119
and I am suggesting this form of it: (Fn+1+c)=a(Fn+c)
What do you get if you combine them?
 
Burjam said:
Fn+1 = Fn(1 + 0.014) - 119?

You have ##F_{n+1} = 1.014 F_n - 119## with ##F_0 = 4500##. Try calculating ##F_1, F_2, F_3## (keeping ##F_0## symbolic instead of 4500). In fact, it might make everything much clearer if you keep all parameters symbolic, so that ##F_{n+1} = r F_n - k##. Using symbols like that instead of numbers helps keep separate the different effects.

However, I think there is something very wrong with the original problem statement: for ##r > 1## (for example, for ##r = 1.014##) you must have a very special relationship between ##F_0,r,k## in order to obtain a finite limit; otherwise you will either have ##F_n \to +\infty## as ##n \to \infty## (for some combinations of ##F_0##, ##r##, and ##k##) or else ##F_n \to -\infty## for for other combinations. Of course, the latter case really means that ##F_n## hits zero at some finite ##n## and so the fish population dies out completely and the problem ends; ##F_n## does not actually go to ##-\infty##.
 
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  • #10
haruspex said:
I did not suggest it would.
You have this equation: Fn+1 = Fn(1 + 0.014) - 119
and I am suggesting this form of it: (Fn+1+c)=a(Fn+c)
What do you get if you combine them?

By combine them, do you mean take a Fn+1 in the second equation as Fn+1 = Fn(1+0.014) - 119 and then try to solve for a and C?
 
  • #11
Ray Vickson said:
I think there is something very wrong with the original problem statement
I assumed it was intended that:
Ray Vickson said:
you will either have ##F_n \to +\infty## as n→∞... [or] ... the fish population dies out completely
 
  • #12
Burjam said:
By combine them, do you mean take a Fn+1 in the second equation as Fn+1 = Fn(1+0.014) - 119 and then try to solve for a and C?
Yes. You will have one equation with two unknowns, but remember that the equation has to be true for all Fn.
 

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