What is the Probability Function for Tossing a Coin 10 Times?

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around determining the probability function for the number of heads obtained when tossing a fair coin 10 times. Participants explore the nature of probabilities associated with independent coin tosses and the implications of different outcomes.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • The original poster expresses confusion about the likelihood of different outcomes, questioning the assumption that all numbers of heads are equally likely. Other participants clarify that while each sequence of heads and tails is equally probable, the number of ways to achieve a specific number of heads varies.

Discussion Status

Participants are actively engaging with the concepts of probability and the binomial distribution. Some guidance has been offered regarding the formulation of the probability function, and there is acknowledgment of the need to consider integer values in the context of the distribution.

Contextual Notes

There is an ongoing discussion about the assumptions related to the distribution of outcomes and the nature of success and failure in the context of the coin tosses. The participants are also considering the implications of defining the function piecewise for non-integer values.

1MileCrash
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Suppose that a fiat coin is tossed 10 times independently. Determine the pf of the number of heads that will be obtained.

I'm feeling really out of touch with this material. It seems like any number of heads is equally likely but I know that just can't be right.

My reasoning for saying such is that the probability of a head is 1/2 and the probability of a tail is 1/2,

So the probability of a head, then tail, then head is

(1/2)(1/2)(1/2)

Or head, head, head is

(1/2)(1/2)(1/2)

But I know that getting 5 heads in the ten flips and getting all heads aren't equally likely.. are they?

So can someone "remind" me how my thinking is wrong?
 
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Wait, I think I see. The probability of any order of heads or tails is equally likely, but the number of "ways" 5 heads can occur is more than the number of ways 10 can occur (which is just one.)

So

f(x) = (10 CHOOSE x)(1/2)^10

Right?
 
Yes. You might want to review the binomial distribution.
 
Indeed. Should I also make the function piecewise, 0 for any exception to the integer interval 1 through 10?
 
Since each trail can be classified as a simple success or failure, we use the binomial distribution, as you have already written down for this case. Just incase, the general form is:

P(X) = C^{n}_{x}p^{x}q^{n-x}

where:
p = probability of success in a trial
q = probability of failure = (1-p)

Edit: Yes, the distribution is inherently discontinuous at non-integer values since there can only be an integer number of successes in n trails.
 

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