metacristi said:
Now they were equally valid on empirical grounds indeed so scientists preferred one or another on other criterions (the majority preferred tradition,I wouldn't say because of religious pressures in science).
This is quite false: Kepler and Copernicus both had religious reasons for adopting their ideas as well as those based on neoplatonic and hermetic ideas, particularly from Philolaus. It was because of these that Copernicus insisted that orbits must be spherical and it took Kepler so long to arrive at the ellipse.
Kepler for example invoqued some mystical causes for his preference.
Indeed he did, as did most others of that time and plenty since. Your faith in Lakatos ignores more recent philosophy of science such as the work of Holton.
Still on longer term it was the considerable empirical success of Newtonian physics (Kepler's laws can be deduced from it) which convinced scientists to switch.It was fully visible now the ad hoc status of Ptolemy's system.
This is also false, while your use of the term "scientist" is anachronistic. I suggest you actually read the
Principia (in Cohen's translation) and try to factor in something other than "empirical success", since you'll find that for those like Newton and Einstein the belief came first and the "empirical success" second. That brings us to:
He explained that he did so because whilst his theory was able to encompass a wide range of phenomena,the alternative models were extremely ad hoc.Further empirical confirmations gave sufficient reasons to reject those ad hoc alternatives.
On that contrary, Einstein's approach and epistemology are far more complex. These reasons are philosophical in the first place, but he also discounted Kaufman from a faith in his ideas that could not be shaken (indeed, it seems he didn't respond
at all when asked to comment on D.C. Miller's later falsification of his theory). Holton's studies have amply demonstrated this additional "dimension" (as he puts it), but a story i like goes thusly:
When asked by one of his students how he felt about the correct predictions for Eddington's expedition to measure the eclipse in 1919, he replied "but i knew that the theory is correct." When the student asked how he would have felt if the prediction had not been confirmed, he answered "then i would have been sorry for the dear Lord - the theory is correct."
There might not exist instant rationality but on long term,as in the lakatosian model,definitely there is a method assuring the rationality of scientific changes,the primacy of the scientific method.
What is this method that you merely assert?
Irrationalists still have to prove the success of induction (based on the principle of sufficient reason in majority,for example when inferring the causes of an observed effect) and why do we have currently the actual scientific body of knowledge and not a system based on the Greek Gods for example
Why do they have to do that? This is a rather massive
non sequitur, but i might ask if
you can "prove the success of induction" (whatever that means)?
Finally,contrary to what some might object,the bayesian view is a strong 'tool',widely used in science,there are even underway very serious efforts to back the stronger form of Occam's Razor/principle of parsimony (the simpler hypothesis is more likely to be true).
Instead, Bayesian theory is anything but taken for granted and subject to significant critique. Of course, i needn't explain why because it seems we deal here only in assertions. Parsimony is likewise problematic and it's doubtful that verisimilitude applies, even before we get to the Bohr's objection that the consequences of additional hypotheses are
never clear
a priori and can only be evaluated after the fact.
What i was wondering, in asking my questions before, was if you have any reasons for your assertions or if they are indeed just that?
Edited to add: on second thought, forget it. I give up.