Why was Higgs not discovered at Tevatron?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the reasons why the Higgs boson was not discovered at the Tevatron collider before its discovery at the LHC. Participants explore the differences in energy levels, statistical significance, and production rates of the Higgs boson at the two colliders.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants note that the Tevatron identified an excess in decay processes in the range from 105 to 145 GeV but did not achieve a discovery.
  • It is mentioned that the Tevatron results were at only the 2.9 sigma level of statistical significance, while a convention in experimental high-energy physics requires at least 5 sigma for a discovery claim.
  • Participants suggest that the low cross-section for Higgs production at the Tevatron's energy or insufficient luminosity could have contributed to the inability to confirm the Higgs boson.
  • One participant references a link to further discussion on the topic.
  • Another reiterates the significance levels, explaining the difference between 3 sigma and 5 sigma in terms of discovery and observation.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants generally agree on the statistical significance levels required for discovery but do not reach a consensus on the primary reason for the Tevatron's failure to discover the Higgs, with multiple factors being suggested.

Contextual Notes

There are unresolved questions regarding the relative importance of the Higgs cross-section and luminosity in the context of the Tevatron's results.

Silversonic
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As far as I can tell Tevatron was able to identify relative to background an excess in decay processes in the range from 105 to 145 GeV. But what was different with Tevatron that didn't allow it to discover the Higgs before the LHC? The LHC had double the CM-energy but the Higgs could've still been produced at Tevatron. Was the Higgs cross section at Tevatron's 2TeV too low to produce statistically significant results to confirm the Higgs? I have looked around but haven't come across a straight up answer.
 
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The Tevatron results for the Higgs were at only the 2.9 sigma (= 2.9 standard deviations) level of statistical significance. A long-standing convention in experimental HEP is that you need at least 5 sigma in order to claim a discovery.

They didn't have enough events either because the cross-section was too low at their energy, as you suggest, or the luminosity (basically the number of collisions per second that could lead to Higgs production) was too low. I don't know which factor was more important.
 
jtbell said:
The Tevatron results for the Higgs were at only the 2.9 sigma (= 2.9 standard deviations) level of statistical significance. A long-standing convention in experimental HEP is that you need at least 5 sigma in order to claim a discovery.
5 sigma ("there is something unless we made a measurement error") is usually called an observation, 3 sigma ("there could be something but we are not sure") is often called discovery.
 

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