Will Graphene Be the Next Breakthrough Material for High Speed Microprocessors?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the potential of graphene as a replacement for silicon in microprocessor technology, exploring its theoretical advantages, challenges in mass production, and comparisons with other materials like gallium arsenide and germanium. The scope includes theoretical implications, practical applications, and historical context regarding semiconductor materials.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation
  • Exploratory

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest that graphene could enable processors to operate at speeds of hundreds of GHz.
  • Others point out the significant investment in existing silicon infrastructure, arguing that a transition to graphene or other materials is unlikely in the near term.
  • There is a historical perspective that previous contenders like gallium arsenide and organic materials have failed to replace silicon, with predictions of silicon's decline dating back to the 1970s.
  • Concerns are raised about the time required for new materials to move from laboratory demonstrations to commercial production, suggesting that silicon's performance continues to improve during this period.
  • Some participants emphasize the need for low-cost production methods and simpler devices to successfully displace silicon and germanium in the market.
  • Questions are raised about the existence of proof-of-concept chips using materials other than silicon and how these materials could enhance microprocessor performance.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views, with no consensus on whether graphene will successfully replace silicon. There are competing perspectives on the feasibility and timeline for such a transition, as well as the historical context of previous materials that have attempted to challenge silicon.

Contextual Notes

The discussion highlights limitations related to the maturity of current semiconductor manufacturing processes, the economic implications of transitioning to new materials, and the ongoing advancements in silicon technology that may affect the viability of alternatives.

ElliotSmith
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TL;DR
Will silicon be replaced by a new material in order to open up new possibilities?
Will silicon be replaced by a new material in order to open up new possibilities in the world of microprocessors?

I believe I read that a graphene processor will allow processors to run at speeds of hundreds of GHz.
 
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For theoretical devices, yes, for mass produced production devices ?

There are 100's of Billions of dollars invested in the current silicon device infrastructure. I don't see that being replaced anytime soon.
 
This is not the first challenger. Gallium arsenide, and organics were among the past contenders for replacing silicon. Predictions of silicon's demise started in the 1970s and never stopped.

Here's the hurdle for challengers. It takes 6-10 years between a laboratory demonstration and commercial production. During those years, Moore's Law continues and the abilities of silicon grow to the point where silicon outperform the challenger. In other words, it is a moving target. Moore's Law won't begin to apply to a challenger until the challenger succeeds in replacing the silicon.

Predictions of the end of the road for Moore's Law have also been continuous since the 1970s, but it hasn't happened yet.
 
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To displace silicon and germanium you need to able to produce high yield, LOW cost glue and controller devices of a much lower complexity than the top of the line computer chips. The equipment lines for these types are devices are very mature, paid off and are making good money from the 40 years of R&D it took to get us here riding silicon. The second and third tier semiconductor producers will be making silicon devices for the foreseeable future because they are always a few generations behind the latest technology. When the first line producers stop handing down used silicon process equipment for great prices and the little guys are forced to switch to a better current process is when silicon will be replaced.
 
Have there been any proof-of-concept chips made using material other than silicon?
 

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