# Yet Another Hurricane

Staff Emeritus
It has been one right after the other this hurricane season. Classes are cancelled tomorrow, there are really long lines at the gasoline station and FPL is cutting down trees that could potentially down power lines.

Personally, I'm not so worried about this one making a big impact in my area. The biggest issue would be flooding since the ground is already staturated with water.

After this hurricane passes Florida where will it go? New Orleans? Texas?

http://tribunewx.wunderground.com/data/images/at200518_5day.gif [Broken]

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They are evacuating the Florida Keys for this one. They're not sure where it will hit after that, but are worried.

Now it's Louisiana's turn to get hit by four storms in a row. I live in Florida and went through all four of the storms and they weren't fun at all. The worst part, for my family at least, was having no AC. It SUCKS beyond all belief. Your totally bored with no electricity and you can't sleep through it because it's too DAMN HOT! Normally I can sleep twenty hours in a row, but with the heat it's almost impossible to sleep at all and if you do manage to sleep you still wake up every 30 mins to discover a pool of sweat under you.

Yeah, no AC would suck bigtime.

Astronuc
Staff Emeritus
From NHC/NOAA
Tropical Storm Rita Advisory Number 7
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
11 Am Edt Mon Sep 19 2005

At 11 Am Edt...1500z...a Hurricane Warning Is Issued For The Extreme
Southern Florida Peninsula From Golden Beach Southward To Florida
City And Westward To East Cape Sable.

A Hurricane Warning Remains In Effect For All Of The Florida Keys
From Ocean Reef To The Dry Tortugas...including Florida Bay.

A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For The Exumas And For Andros
Island In The Northwest Bahamas. A Tropical Storm Warning Is In
Effect For The Turks And Caicos And For All Of The Remainder Of The
Bahamas.

A Hurricane Warning Is In Effect For The Cuban Provinces Of Villa
Clara And Matanzas. A Hurricane Watch Remains In Effect For The
Provinces Of Ciudad De Habana...la Habana...and Pinar Del Rio. A
Tropical Storm Watch Remains In Effect For The Provinces Of Ciego
De Avila...sancti Spiritus...and Cienfuegos.

At 11 Am Edt...a Tropical Storm Warning And A Hurricane Watch Are
Now In Effect From Deerfield Beach Florida Southward To North Of
Golden Beach.

At 11 Am Edt...a Tropical Storm Warning Is Issued Along The Florida
East Coast From North Of Deerfield Beach Northward To Jupiter
Inlet.

At 11 Am Edt...a Hurricane Watch Is Issued For The Extreme
Southwestern Florida Peninsula From West Of East Cape Sable
Northward To Chokoloskee.

At 11 Am Edt...a Tropical Storm Watch Is Issued For The Southwest
Florida Coast From North Of Chokoloskee To Englewood.

For Storm Information Specific To Your Area...including Possible
Inland Watches And Warnings...please Monitor Products Issued

At 11 Am Edt...1500z...the Center Of Tropical Storm Rita Was Located
Near Latitude 23.0 North... Longitude 75.2 West Or About 195
Miles... 315 Km... Southeast Of Nassau And About 430 Miles
East-southeast Of Key West Florida.

Rita Is Moving Toward The West-northwest Near 12 Mph... 19 Km/hr...
And This Motion Is Expected To Continue During The Next 24 Hours.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 65 Mph...100 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Some Strengthening Is Forecast During The Next 24 Hours...
And Rita Could Become A Category One Hurricane Tonight.

Tropical Storm Force Winds Extend Outward Up To 145 Miles
...230 Km From The Center.

Estimated Minimum Central Pressure Is 994 Mb...29.35 Inches.

Rita Is Expected To Produce Total Rainfall Accumulations Of 4 To 6
Inches Over The Southeastern And Central Bahamas...with Possible
Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 8 Inches. Storm Totals Of 6 To 10
Inches...with Isolated Maximum Amounts Of 15 Inches Will Be
Possible In The Florida Keys And Northwestern Cuba...with 3 To 5
Inches Possible Across The Southern Florida Peninsula.

Storm Surge Flooding Of 6 To 9 Feet Above Normal Tide Levels...along
With Large And Dangerous Battering Waves...are Possible In The
Florida Keys In Areas Of Onshore Flow. Coastal Storm Surge
Flooding Of 3 To 5 Feet Are Possible Along The Extreme Southeastern
Florida Coast...and In The Northwestern Bahamas.

This definitely could be a Cat 1 hurricane by the time it gets to Florida. But watch out if it gets to the Gulf. It definitely could get up to a Cat 3.

Check out this years trends, and Rita might follow the path Katrina took! Or Rita could split the difference of the paths of Katrina and Emily and hit Houston. But based on the more northerly track, it would seem likely Rita is headed for somewhere between New Orleans and Pensacola, unless it takes a sharp right turn over Florida.
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/images/at2005.gif

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honestrosewater
Gold Member
Oops, I haven't even been watching the news the last week or so. They're on R already? Anyway, I'm glad I saw this. I'm not in the track I've seen, but still... :uhh:

I hope it doesn't hit any Katrina evacuees in Texas.

zoobyshoe said:
Yeah, no AC would suck bigtime.

Most houses (and my dorm btw) don't have AC here. In the summer temperatures can reach 40 to 50 C (thats 104 F to 122 F). But we have high-speed ceiling fans, and people usually keep what are called 'desert coolers' in their living rooms. Desert coolers have water dripping through some material, dry grass usually, over which air is made to pass by a very powerful fan. Evaporation cools the air and makes it much like a cool pleasant day at the beach. But that doesn't work much if the humidity is 100%, like it is during the extreme summer days of Karachi (which thankfully don't last for a long time, and the night always has a pleasant cool sea breeze), which is a coastal city...you feel like you are breathing through a straw with that much humidity

cefarix said:
Most houses (and my dorm btw) don't have AC here.
Oh! I don't have Air Conditioning either. I thought he meant Alternating Current. Usually hurricanes knock all the power out.

Evo
Mentor
It looks like Florida won't have much to worry about, but if it gains strength in the warm Gulf waters, and keeps on the projected path, looks like it will hit near Houston from the map dduardo posted.

Astronuc
Staff Emeritus
Hurricane Rita has done some serious strengthening this morning!

HURRICANE RITA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

...RITA REACHES 100 MPH WINDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND
FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST SOUTHWARD
TO EAST CAPE SABLE...THEN NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE ON THE SOUTHWEST
COAST.

Warnings have been deleted - see http://www.nhc.noaa.gov for actual advisories and warnings.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80
KM...SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...
NORTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.

RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
THE FLORIDA STRAITS BETWEEN THE CITY OF HAVANA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
TODAY. HOWEVER...STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN EYEWALL
ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS DIRECTLY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE REACHED 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 120 MILES...195 KM.

LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE
WAS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
FLORIDA COAST.

RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
TO 8 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS..CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN CUBA...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. RAINFALLAMOUNTS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENNISULA. RAINS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE BAHAMAS.

THERE IS POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
FLORIDA KEYS.

Since Rita's eye is moving over water, it will not diminsh, but rather strengthen. Even though water temperature in the Gulf of Mexico may have cooled slightly (a few degrees C) due to Katrina, the waters are still warm and Rita will likely continue to strengthen. This hurricane should be considered extremely dangerous!

Take all warnings to evacuate seriously!

See GOES animated loop (10 images animated) -
Visible - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-vis-loop.html

Infrared - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

As a side note, as Rita heads across the Gulf, oil platforms will be taken off-line again. Oil prices will necessarily increase again. Also, if Rita follows Katrina it will likely damage refineries that recently came back on-line. If Rita heads to Houston/Galveston, it may take out additional refining capacity and fuel prices will again increase - perhaps to near $4.00/gal or more. rachmaninoff How prepared is Houston for a direct hurricane hit? It's almost a coastal city, and very flood-prone (refer to t.s. Allison) - and now there's a potentially cat. 4-5 storm approaching that general area. I also hear a lot of news on tv and radio to later be able to save hundreds of people with my posts on boards. man thats bad they evacuated people from louisiane and now they will be hit again in texas rachmaninoff If anyone's up this early in the morning, it's at category 4 now. http://maps.wunderground.com/data/images/at200518.gif [Broken] Last edited by a moderator: Its another giant! Anywhere it hits, will be hit hard. Evo Mentor Right now it appears it will miss Houston, but hurricanes can be very erratic. Astronuc Staff Emeritus Science Advisor HURRICANE RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2005 ...SATELLITE SUGGESTS THAT RITA HAS BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE... INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF RITA. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES... WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 790 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF RITA FARTHER AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY. SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT RITA HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGHTEN AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. A NOAA PLANE WILL CHECK THE INTENSITY LATER THIS MORNING. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...28.00 INCHES. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE FLOODING ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD SUBSIDE TODAY. RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ARE POSSIBLE OVER NORTHWEST CUBA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. Hurricane Rita could strengthen to Cat 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale In the last 6 hrs, Hurricane Rita has moved essentially due west. That path would put it in line with Brownsville, TX and the Rio Grande Valley (border between Mexico and US. However, as Evo pointed out hurricanes can be erratic and difficult to predict. It certainly could veer toward the NW or NNW and threaten the Texas Gulf Coast from Brownsville and Corpus Christi to Galveston/Houston area. High pressure systems over Colorado and the Ohio Valley just migh keep Rita going west. Entropy said: Now it's Louisiana's turn to get hit by four storms in a row. I live in Florida and went through all four of the storms and they weren't fun at all. The worst part, for my family at least, was having no AC. It SUCKS beyond all belief. Your totally bored with no electricity and you can't sleep through it because it's too DAMN HOT! Normally I can sleep twenty hours in a row, but with the heat it's almost impossible to sleep at all and if you do manage to sleep you still wake up every 30 mins to discover a pool of sweat under you. You guys should Demand !! that all hydro wires ought to be put underground like they have in Europe. They have strong winds, storms and all that stuff in Europe and there are hardly any blackouts. cnn.com says gas=5$/gallon next week

BobG
Homework Helper
Up to a cat 5.

They skipped 'Q'? I've never seen the names get this far down the alphabet - I was kind of curious what 'Q' name they would use.

Moonbear
Staff Emeritus
Gold Member
stoned said:
You guys should Demand !! that all hydro wires ought to be put underground like they have in Europe.
They have strong winds, storms and all that stuff in Europe and there are hardly any blackouts.
That doesn't really work in those flood-prone areas. I think the water table is probably too high to bury them in many areas. I think I'll take the occassional winter blizzard over all these hurricanes (they're the price you pay for living in warm, coastal areas).

Staff Emeritus
Didn't the meteorologists say it would only get up to a Cat 3? What happened there?

"The letters Q, U, X, Y, and Z are not included because of the scarcity of names beginning with those letters." - noaa.gov

I got a good 'Q': Quagmire

Astronuc
Staff Emeritus
dduardo said:
Didn't the meteorologists say it would only get up to a Cat 3? What happened there?
NHC/NOAA has said it could get to Cat 5 - the Gulf of Mexico is quite warm.

The Houston/Galveston area has a number of refineries which could be damaged if Rita heads in there.

It seems that the Galveston/Trinity Bay Area will have a low tide Friday afternoon-evening.

Many newer neighborhoods in Houston and vicinty have underground power lines, but the main transmission lines are above ground.

Follow Rita during daylight hours with - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-vis-loop.html

or http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-vis-loop.html

At night - infrared - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/gmex-ir4-loop.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

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Moonbear
Staff Emeritus