Yet Another Hurricane

  1. dduardo

    dduardo 1,918
    Staff Emeritus

    It has been one right after the other this hurricane season. Classes are cancelled tomorrow, there are really long lines at the gasoline station and FPL is cutting down trees that could potentially down power lines.

    Personally, I'm not so worried about this one making a big impact in my area. The biggest issue would be flooding since the ground is already staturated with water.

    After this hurricane passes Florida where will it go? New Orleans? Texas?

    [​IMG]
     
  2. jcsd
  3. They are evacuating the Florida Keys for this one. They're not sure where it will hit after that, but are worried.
     
  4. Now it's Louisiana's turn to get hit by four storms in a row. :frown: I live in Florida and went through all four of the storms and they weren't fun at all. The worst part, for my family at least, was having no AC. It SUCKS beyond all belief. Your totally bored with no electricity and you can't sleep through it because it's too DAMN HOT! Normally I can sleep twenty hours in a row, but with the heat it's almost impossible to sleep at all and if you do manage to sleep you still wake up every 30 mins to discover a pool of sweat under you.
     
  5. Yeah, no AC would suck bigtime.
     
  6. Astronuc

    Staff: Mentor

    From NHC/NOAA
    Tropical Storm Rita Advisory Number 7
    Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
    11 Am Edt Mon Sep 19 2005

    This definitely could be a Cat 1 hurricane by the time it gets to Florida. But watch out if it gets to the Gulf. It definitely could get up to a Cat 3.

    Check out this years trends, and Rita might follow the path Katrina took! Or Rita could split the difference of the paths of Katrina and Emily and hit Houston. But based on the more northerly track, it would seem likely Rita is headed for somewhere between New Orleans and Pensacola, unless it takes a sharp right turn over Florida.
    http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/images/at2005.gif
     
    Last edited: Sep 19, 2005
  7. honestrosewater

    honestrosewater 2,329
    Gold Member

    Oops, I haven't even been watching the news the last week or so. They're on R already? Anyway, I'm glad I saw this. I'm not in the track I've seen, but still... :uhh:

    I hope it doesn't hit any Katrina evacuees in Texas. :frown:
     
  8. Most houses (and my dorm btw) don't have AC here. In the summer temperatures can reach 40 to 50 C (thats 104 F to 122 F). But we have high-speed ceiling fans, and people usually keep what are called 'desert coolers' in their living rooms. Desert coolers have water dripping through some material, dry grass usually, over which air is made to pass by a very powerful fan. Evaporation cools the air and makes it much like a cool pleasant day at the beach. But that doesn't work much if the humidity is 100%, like it is during the extreme summer days of Karachi (which thankfully don't last for a long time, and the night always has a pleasant cool sea breeze), which is a coastal city...you feel like you are breathing through a straw with that much humidity :smile:
     
  9. Oh! I don't have Air Conditioning either. I thought he meant Alternating Current. Usually hurricanes knock all the power out.
     
  10. Evo

    Staff: Mentor

    It looks like Florida won't have much to worry about, but if it gains strength in the warm Gulf waters, and keeps on the projected path, looks like it will hit near Houston from the map dduardo posted.
     
  11. Astronuc

    Staff: Mentor

    Hurricane Rita has done some serious strengthening this morning!

    HURRICANE RITA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 12
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    2 PM EDT TUE SEP 20 2005

    ...RITA REACHES 100 MPH WINDS...

    A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA KEYS...AND
    FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY ON THE FLORIDA SOUTHEAST COAST SOUTHWARD
    TO EAST CAPE SABLE...THEN NORTHWARD TO CHOKOLOSKEE ON THE SOUTHWEST
    COAST.

    Warnings have been deleted - see http://www.nhc.noaa.gov for actual advisories and warnings.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
    LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.7 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES... 80
    KM...SOUTH OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 65 MILES...105 KM...
    NORTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA.

    RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS
    MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
    THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER
    THE FLORIDA STRAITS BETWEEN THE CITY OF HAVANA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS
    TODAY. HOWEVER...STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHERN EYEWALL
    ARE EXPECTED TO IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS DIRECTLY.

    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE REACHED 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH
    HIGHER GUSTS. RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
    SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
    NEXT 24 HOURS.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
    FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
    TO 120 MILES...195 KM.

    LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE
    WAS 978 MB...28.88 INCHES.

    STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
    WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
    FLORIDA KEYS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. COASTAL STORM SURGE
    FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
    FLORIDA COAST.

    RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6
    TO 8 INCHES OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS..CENTRAL AND NORTHWESTERN CUBA...
    WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. RAINFALLAMOUNTS OF 3 TO
    5 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENNISULA. RAINS
    ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS THE BAHAMAS.

    THERE IS POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED TORNADOS OVER SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
    FLORIDA KEYS.

    Since Rita's eye is moving over water, it will not diminsh, but rather strengthen. Even though water temperature in the Gulf of Mexico may have cooled slightly (a few degrees C) due to Katrina, the waters are still warm and Rita will likely continue to strengthen. This hurricane should be considered extremely dangerous!

    Take all warnings to evacuate seriously!

    See GOES animated loop (10 images animated) -
    Visible - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/watl-vis-loop.html

    Infrared - http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html

    As a side note, as Rita heads across the Gulf, oil platforms will be taken off-line again. Oil prices will necessarily increase again. Also, if Rita follows Katrina it will likely damage refineries that recently came back on-line. If Rita heads to Houston/Galveston, it may take out additional refining capacity and fuel prices will again increase - perhaps to near $4.00/gal or more.
     
  12. How prepared is Houston for a direct hurricane hit? It's almost a coastal city, and very flood-prone (refer to t.s. Allison) - and now there's a potentially cat. 4-5 storm approaching that general area.

    :frown:
     
  13. I also hear a lot of news on tv and radio to later be able to save hundreds of people with my posts on boards.
     
  14. man thats bad they evacuated people from louisiane and now they will be hit again in texas
     
  15. Its another giant! Anywhere it hits, will be hit hard.
     
  16. Evo

    Staff: Mentor

    Right now it appears it will miss Houston, but hurricanes can be very erratic.
     
  17. Astronuc

    Staff: Mentor

    HURRICANE RITA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    8 AM EDT WED SEP 21 2005

    ...SATELLITE SUGGESTS THAT RITA HAS BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR
    HURRICANE...

    INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
    PROGRESS OF RITA.

    FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
    INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
    BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

    AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE RITA WAS LOCATED NEAR
    LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES...
    WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 790 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
    CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS.

    RITA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
    IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD
    BRING THE CENTER OF RITA FARTHER AWAY FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS OVER
    THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO TODAY.

    SATELLITE IMAGERY SUGGESTS THAT RITA HAS CONTINUED TO STRENGHTEN AND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 135 MPH WITH HIGHER
    GUSTS.
    RITA IS NOW A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
    SCALE. A NOAA PLANE WILL CHECK THE INTENSITY LATER THIS MORNING.
    SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES FROM THE
    CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
    MILES.

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 948 MB...28.00 INCHES.

    COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS
    IS POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA. STORM SURGE
    FLOODING ELSEWHERE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD
    SUBSIDE TODAY.

    RITA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1
    TO 3 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND THE
    FLORIDA KEYS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH MAXIMUM
    AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...ARE POSSIBLE OVER
    NORTHWEST CUBA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
    OVER THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA.

    Hurricane Rita could strengthen to Cat 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale

    In the last 6 hrs, Hurricane Rita has moved essentially due west. That path would put it in line with Brownsville, TX and the Rio Grande Valley (border between Mexico and US. However, as Evo pointed out hurricanes can be erratic and difficult to predict. It certainly could veer toward the NW or NNW and threaten the Texas Gulf Coast from Brownsville and Corpus Christi to Galveston/Houston area.

    High pressure systems over Colorado and the Ohio Valley just migh keep Rita going west.
     

  18. You guys should Demand !! that all hydro wires ought to be put underground like they have in Europe.
    They have strong winds, storms and all that stuff in Europe and there are hardly any blackouts.
     
  19. cnn.com says gas=5$/gallon next week
     
  20. BobG

    BobG 2,364
    Science Advisor
    Homework Helper

    Up to a cat 5.

    They skipped 'Q'? I've never seen the names get this far down the alphabet - I was kind of curious what 'Q' name they would use.
     
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