Probability of K People Tossing Coins n Times

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In summary, the conversation discusses the probability of all K people getting the same number of heads when independently tossing a coin n times. A formula is provided, P(n)=C(n,x)*pi^x*(1-pi)^(n-x), where P(n) represents the probability of x events occurring out of n tries, pi is the certainty (in this case, 1/2 for a coin with 2 sides), and C(n,x) is the combination formula. The formula is then applied K-1 times. The conversation also mentions evaluating the probability for specific values of K and n.
  • #1
nbalderaz
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K people independently toss a coin n times. What is the probability that all K of them get the same number of heads?
(1) Find a formula for the probability in terms of K and n.
(2) Evaluate the probability for K = {5, 10, 20} and n = {4, 8, 16}
 
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  • #2
Let me see if I remember this:


P(n)=C(n,x)*pi^x*(1-pi)^(n-x)

Where P(n) is the probability that an x number of events will occur out of n number of tries. pi is the certainty (in the case of a coin with 2 sides pi=1/2). C(n,x) is: n!/((n-x)!*k!)

Apply the formula K-1 times.
 
  • #3


The probability of all K people getting the same number of heads when independently tossing a coin n times can be calculated by first determining the total number of possible outcomes, and then finding the number of outcomes where all K people get the same number of heads.

(1) Formula for the probability in terms of K and n:

Let P be the probability of all K people getting the same number of heads when tossing a coin n times.
Total number of possible outcomes = 2^n (since each person has 2 possible outcomes - heads or tails - for each toss)
Number of outcomes where all K people get the same number of heads = 2 (since there are only 2 possible outcomes - all heads or all tails)
Therefore, P = 2/2^n = 1/2^(n-1)

(2) Evaluating the probability for K = {5, 10, 20} and n = {4, 8, 16}:

For K = 5 and n = 4:
P = 1/2^(4-1) = 1/8 = 0.125 or 12.5%

For K = 5 and n = 8:
P = 1/2^(8-1) = 1/128 = 0.0078 or 0.78%

For K = 5 and n = 16:
P = 1/2^(16-1) = 1/32768 = 0.00003 or 0.003%

For K = 10 and n = 4:
P = 1/2^(4-1) = 1/8 = 0.125 or 12.5%

For K = 10 and n = 8:
P = 1/2^(8-1) = 1/128 = 0.0078 or 0.78%

For K = 10 and n = 16:
P = 1/2^(16-1) = 1/32768 = 0.00003 or 0.003%

For K = 20 and n = 4:
P = 1/2^(4-1) = 1/8 = 0.125 or 12.5%

For K = 20 and n = 8:
P = 1/2^(8-1) = 1/128 = 0.
 

1. What is the probability of getting exactly k heads when tossing a coin n times?

The probability of getting exactly k heads when tossing a coin n times can be calculated using the binomial distribution formula, which is P(k) = (n choose k) * p^k * (1-p)^(n-k), where n is the number of tosses, k is the number of heads, and p is the probability of getting a head on each toss.

2. How does increasing the number of tosses affect the probability of getting k heads?

As the number of tosses increases, the probability of getting k heads tends to decrease. This is because the more times the coin is tossed, the more likely it is for the number of heads to approach the expected value, which is n*p. However, the probability of getting k heads may also increase if the number of tosses is significantly larger than the expected value.

3. Can the probability of getting k heads be greater than 1?

No, the probability of getting k heads cannot be greater than 1. This is because probability is a measure between 0 and 1, where 0 represents impossibility and 1 represents certainty. Therefore, the highest probability of getting k heads is 1, which would occur if the coin is biased and always lands on heads.

4. What is the relationship between the probability of getting k heads and the number of people tossing the coin?

The probability of getting k heads is independent of the number of people tossing the coin. This means that whether the coin is tossed by one person or multiple people, the probability of getting k heads remains the same. This assumes that the coin is fair and the tosses are independent of each other.

5. Is the probability of getting k heads affected by the order in which the coin is tossed?

No, the probability of getting k heads is not affected by the order in which the coin is tossed. This is because the coin tosses are independent events, meaning the outcome of one toss does not affect the outcome of another toss. Therefore, the probability of getting k heads remains the same regardless of the order in which the coin is tossed.

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