- #1
Kate2010
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Homework Statement
I'm told that of n couples, each of whom have at least one child, with couples procreating independently and no limits on family size, births single and independent, and for the ith couple the probability of a boy is p_i and of a girl is q_i with p_i + q_i = 1.
1. Show the expected family size if the ith couple stop when have had both sexes is 1/(p_iq_i) - 1.
2. If all n couples stop when have children of both sexes, what is the expected number of girls.
Homework Equations
E(X) = Sum(i=1..n) E(X|A_i) P(A_i)
E(X|A) = Sum(over x) xP(X=x|A)
The Attempt at a Solution
So for 1 I've got:
Let X be the number of births until a girl and boy
A1 = boy born 1st
A2 = girl born 1st
E(X) = E(X|A_1)P(A_1) + E(X|A_2)P(A_2) = (p_i/q_i) + (q_i/p_i) = 1/(p_iq_i) -2
Do I add 1 as I'm considering 2 births not 1?
For 2:
I'm not too sure how to go about this at all, I can use the second formula with X being the number of girls and A being that both sexes are born, but how do I know P(X=x|A)?
Earlier in the question I calculated the expected family size if the family stopped after a boy or a girl.
Thanks.