Probability - Uniform distribution word problem.

In summary, a uniform distribution in probability is when every possible outcome has an equal chance of occurring. To solve a uniform distribution word problem, you must identify the number of outcomes and use a formula to calculate their probabilities. The main difference between a uniform distribution and a normal distribution is the shape of their probability curves. A uniform distribution is represented in a graph by a flat line, and it can be used to model real-life situations where all outcomes have an equal chance of occurring.
  • #1
IniquiTrance
190
0

Homework Statement


Jake leaves home at a random time between 7:30 and 7:55 a.m.
(assume the uniform distribution) and walks to his office. The walk takes 10
minutes. Let T be the amount of time spends in his office between 7:40 and
8:00 a.m.. Find the distribution function F_T of T and draw its graph. Does F_T
have a density?


Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



This is what I've come up with so far:

Let X be the number of minutes past 7:30 that he leaves his house.

[tex]T = \begin{cases} 30 - (x + 10) &\text{if } 0\leq x \leq 20 \\ 0 &\text{if } 20<x\leq 25 \end{cases}[/tex]

[tex]F_T(t) = \mathbb{P}[T\leq t] = \begin{cases} \mathbb{P}[20-x\leq t] &\text{if } 0\leq t \leq 20 \\ 0 &\text{if } t<0 \\ 1 &\text{if } t>20\end{cases} [/tex]

[tex] \mathbb{P}[20-x \leq t] = 1 - \mathbb{P}[x<20 -t][/tex]
[tex]= 1 - \int_{0}^{20-t} \frac{1}{25} dx[/tex]
[tex] = \frac{5+t}{25}[/tex]

[tex]\therefore F_T(t) = \mathbb{P}[T\leq t] = \begin{cases} \frac{5+t}{25} &\text{if } 0\leq t \leq 20 \\ 0 &\text{if } t<0 \\ 1 &\text{if } t>20\end{cases}[/tex]

This would imply no density, but that seems plausible given that for [tex]T=0[/tex], [tex] 20<X\leq 25[/tex].
 
Physics news on Phys.org
  • #2
IniquiTrance said:

Homework Statement


Jake leaves home at a random time between 7:30 and 7:55 a.m.
(assume the uniform distribution) and walks to his office. The walk takes 10
minutes. Let T be the amount of time spends in his office between 7:40 and
8:00 a.m.. Find the distribution function F_T of T and draw its graph. Does F_T
have a density?


Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution



This is what I've come up with so far:

Let X be the number of minutes past 7:30 that he leaves his house.

[tex]T = \begin{cases} 30 - (x + 10) &\text{if } 0\leq x \leq 20 \\ 0 &\text{if } 20<x\leq 25 \end{cases}[/tex]

[tex]F_T(t) = \mathbb{P}[T\leq t] = \begin{cases} \mathbb{P}[20-x\leq t] &\text{if } 0\leq t \leq 20 \\ 0 &\text{if } t<0 \\ 1 &\text{if } t>20\end{cases} [/tex]

[tex] \mathbb{P}[20-x \leq t] = 1 - \mathbb{P}[x<20 -t][/tex]
[tex]= 1 - \int_{0}^{20-t} \frac{1}{25} dx[/tex]
[tex] = \frac{5+t}{25}[/tex]

[tex]\therefore F_T(t) = \mathbb{P}[T\leq t] = \begin{cases} \frac{5+t}{25} &\text{if } 0\leq t \leq 20 \\ 0 &\text{if } t<0 \\ 1 &\text{if } t>20\end{cases}[/tex]

This would imply no density, but that seems plausible given that for [tex]T=0[/tex], [tex] 20<X\leq 25[/tex].

You have not posted an actual question, and you seem to have done the problem satisfactorily. However, it would have been more straightforward to base the analysis on arrival time instead of departure: his arrival is uniform from 7:40 to 7:65 (if you will allow minutes > 60 for convenience), and you want to know the distribution of his office time duration between 7:40 and 7:60.

So, if 7:40 <--> 0, we have X~Unif(0,25) and you want the distribution of T = max(20-X,0). Of course, T is "mixed", with a finite probability mass at t = 0: P(T = 0} = 5/25 (5 minutes out of 25). For 0 < t < 20 you can think of T as having a density if you want, but that just means that the cdf P{T ≤ t} is differentiable in that interval. You could also think of T as being a probabilistic mixture of two distributions: with probability 5/25, T is derministic at 0 (that is, is a degenerate random variable concentrated at 0); with probabilty 20/25, T has a density on (0,20); that density would be [tex] g(t) = \frac{25}{20} \frac{d}{dt} \text{P}\{ T \leq t \}. [/tex] Note that the normalization gives [itex] \int_0^{20} g(t) \, dt = 1.[/itex] Sometimes Physicists and Engineers think of such random variables as having densities involving the Dirac delta-function: [tex] \text{density of }T = f(t) = (1/5)\delta(t) + (4/5) g(t). [/tex]
However, not everybody would like or accept this "density", so be careful to gauge your audience before presenting it. However, it is always acceptable to view the cdf as a mixture:
[tex] \text{cdf} = F(t) = (1/5)H(t) + (4/5) G(t),[/tex]
where H is the Heaviside function H(w) = 0 for w < 0 and H(w) = 1 for w ≥ 0.
RGV
 
  • #3
Thank you very much. I understand the concept of mixed distributions much better now.
 

Related to Probability - Uniform distribution word problem.

1. What is a uniform distribution in probability?

A uniform distribution in probability refers to a probability distribution where every possible outcome has an equal chance of occurring. This means that all outcomes have the same probability of happening and there is no bias towards any particular outcome.

2. How do you solve a uniform distribution word problem?

To solve a uniform distribution word problem, you must first identify the number of possible outcomes and the probability of each outcome occurring. Then, you can use the formula P(A) = 1/n, where n is the number of possible outcomes and P(A) is the probability of event A occurring, to calculate the probability of each outcome. Finally, you can use the addition rule to find the probability of a specific event or range of events occurring.

3. What is the difference between a uniform distribution and a normal distribution?

The main difference between a uniform distribution and a normal distribution is that a uniform distribution has a constant probability for all outcomes, while a normal distribution has a bell-shaped curve with a higher probability for outcomes near the center and lower probabilities for outcomes further away from the center.

4. How is a uniform distribution represented in a graph?

A uniform distribution is represented in a graph by a flat line, where all outcomes have the same probability. This is in contrast to a normal distribution, which is represented by a bell-shaped curve.

5. Can a real-life situation be modeled using a uniform distribution?

Yes, a real-life situation can be modeled using a uniform distribution if all outcomes have an equal chance of occurring. For example, the probability of rolling a fair die is a uniform distribution because each number has an equal chance of being rolled. However, it is important to note that many real-life situations may not have a truly uniform distribution and may require other probability distributions to accurately model them.

Similar threads

Replies
11
Views
1K
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
4
Views
1K
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
6
Views
616
Replies
1
Views
623
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
8
Views
633
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
13
Views
2K
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
6
Views
1K
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
6
Views
328
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
12
Views
1K
  • Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
Replies
2
Views
502
Back
Top