Accelerated lifetime / thermal ageing of power cables

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the feasibility of performing accelerated lifetime tests for thermal aging on power cables, particularly in relation to operating temperatures exceeding manufacturer specifications. Participants explore methods for estimating cable lifespan under increased temperatures, referencing the Arrhenius equation and relevant IEC standards.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant questions whether accelerated lifetime testing for thermal aging is possible and suggests using the Arrhenius equation to estimate lifespan at higher temperatures.
  • Another participant emphasizes the importance of consulting the cable manufacturer for accurate aging estimates, citing their expertise.
  • There is a suggestion that activation energy can be estimated if two temperature points are known, although one participant argues that the data provided does not allow for this estimation due to differing degradation processes.
  • Some participants mention specific labs and organizations that conduct accelerated aging tests on medium voltage cables, indicating a variety of testing facilities available.
  • One participant cites a source claiming that an increase in operating temperature by 8 to 10°C can halve the service life of a cable, linking this to a general rule of thumb regarding reaction rates.
  • Another participant reiterates the importance of understanding the consequences of premature cable failure, questioning whether it is life-critical or merely a nuisance.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the methods for estimating cable lifespan and the implications of operating above specified temperatures. There is no consensus on the best approach or the reliability of the available data.

Contextual Notes

Some limitations are noted, including the dependence on specific definitions and the complexity of degradation processes that may not be adequately captured by simple models.

Who May Find This Useful

This discussion may be of interest to engineers, researchers, and professionals involved in the design, testing, and maintenance of power cables, particularly those concerned with thermal aging and reliability assessments.

Casper Hansen
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Hi PF

Is it possible to perform accelerated lifetime test of thermal ageing on power cables?

Let's assume that the cable manufacturer guarantees a service life time of 20 years at max operation temperature 90 [degC]. Is it possible to estimate the expected life time of a cable if I choose to operate my cable above the 90 [degC] let's say 100 [degC]. Maybe the expected life time could be calculated using Arrhenius equation?

Are there any IEC standards that deal with this? That i can use to estimate the life time of a cable

I know that the cable manufacturer do accelerated lifetime voltage test on cables where they test breakdown at 4xU0 (4 times rated voltage) at 4 hours. Does they perform similar tests for thermal degradation of the insulation material?
 
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I would contact the cable manufacturer. They are the ones with the expertise and know all of what goes into an age estimate.
 
Casper Hansen said:
Maybe the expected life time could be calculated using Arrhenius equation?
I think that's the way it is usually done. You need an appropriate value for the activation energy.
 
I found this standard IEC 60216 series anyone have been working with it?
.Scott said:
I would contact the cable manufacturer. They are the ones with the expertise and know all of what goes into an age estimate.
I have tried that they could not tell.

gmax137 said:
I think that's the way it is usually done. You need an appropriate value for the activation energy.
If i have two temperature points i can estimate the activation energy?

lets say:
operation temperature: 90 [degC] @ 20 years (631 138 519 s)
Short circuit temperature 250 [degC] @ 5 s

CWatters said:
Google found...

https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/4111066/

But I haven't read it. Bit dated perhaps.
Thanks I'll look into that.
 
Casper Hansen said:
If i have two temperature points i can estimate the activation energy?

Technically, yes.

lets say:
operation temperature: 90 [degC] @ 20 years (631 138 519 s)
Short circuit temperature 250 [degC] @ 5 s

Nope, not from this data. One temperature refers to slow degradation, the other to fast thermal decomposition, these are different (chemically) processes, so they have different activation energies (actually thermal decomposition is a mixture of competing, parallel processes, which makes it even more complicated).

If you had data for - say - 50°C and 90°C, that would make sense.
 
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What type of cable are you interested in? Medium voltage, high voltage or low voltage?

A number of labs around the world have performed accelerated aging on medium voltage cables (mostly 15 kV to 34.5 kV). The temperature and applied voltage are usually set higher than normal to permit meaningful results in approximately 3 years or so.

You might check NEETRAC, an independent testing facility that is part of Georgia Tech in Atlanta. CTL (Cable Technologies Lab) in New Jersey has done aging tests for different clients. Finally, General Cable has done quite a bit of testing in their lab in Texas.

IREC in Montreal has done some of this testing too, and CESI in Italy has done some.
 
Casper Hansen said:
.Scott said:
I would contact the cable manufacturer. They are the ones with the expertise and know all of what goes into an age estimate.
I have tried that they could not tell.​

Then my next question would be: What would the consequences be of premature failure of this power cable? More specifically, is it life-critical, mission-critical, or just a nuisance?​
 
  • #10
Babadag said:
An increase of the operating temperature by 8 to 10°C reduces the service life by half.

Which nicely fits the old rule of thumb "raising the temperature by 10°C makes the reaction twice faster". This is based on the observation activation energies of many reactions fall in the same range of tens of kJ.
 
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  • #11
Casper Hansen said:
Hi PF

Is it possible to perform accelerated lifetime test of thermal ageing on power cables?

Let's assume that the cable manufacturer guarantees a service life time of 20 years at max operation temperature 90 [degC]. Is it possible to estimate the expected life time of a cable if I choose to operate my cable above the 90 [degC] let's say 100 [degC]. Maybe the expected life time could be calculated using Arrhenius equation?

Are there any IEC standards that deal with this? That i can use to estimate the life time of a cable

I know that the cable manufacturer do accelerated lifetime voltage test on cables where they test breakdown at 4xU0 (4 times rated voltage) at 4 hours. Does they perform similar tests for thermal degradation of the insulation material?

You can do accelerated lifetime studies on pretty much ANYTHING. NOTHING in this universe is actually static and unchanging - it's only the limitations of human perception that create the illusion of static qualities.

To know if a cable will have problems, contacting the manufacturer probably save a lot of time. Doing your own studies are absolutely possible but to get them right they will take time and it very much helps to know a lot about how the thing was manufactured to do that correctly.
 

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