What Is the Total Economic Value of the Asteroid Belt?

AI Thread Summary
The discussion centers on estimating the total economic value of mined ores in the asteroid belt, with a focus on a hypothetical one-kilometer diameter asteroid valued at over one trillion dollars based on seven key elements. The total mass of the asteroid belt is estimated between 3.0Kg to the 1021st power and 3.6Kg to the 1021st power, prompting calculations to convert these figures into metric tons. The value of various metals, including iron, magnesium, and platinum, is highlighted, with a total potential worth exceeding $1.275 trillion based on 1998 prices. The conversation also emphasizes the importance of the U.S. taking a leadership role in asteroid resource development, linking this to job creation and economic growth. The thread concludes with a call for feedback on the calculations and perceptions presented.
Hogan 314
Messages
2
Reaction score
0
I'm working on a potential posting about the total economic value of all possible mined ores in the asteroid belt. This is something of an experimental draft to follow below.

The total mass of the asteroid belt has a minimum and maximum estimate.

What is 3.0Kg to the 1021st power Minimum guess. Then convert to metric tons.

What is 3.6Kg to the 1021st power Maximum guess. Then convert to metric tons

Just for your curiosity the source of the potential economic value comes from these links.http://www.tricitiesnet.com/donsastronomy/asteroidtable.html
There's almost 80 elements of value in this chart

http://www.tricitiesnet.com/donsastronomy/mining.html
Excerpt from second link above.

In a nut shell...
A one kilometer diameter stereotyped asteroid is worth over one trillion dollars, just based on 7 elements. This so called 1Km diameter asteroid is about 716,000,000 metric tons.

Following is a short list from this chart, based on the above mentioned elements, expressed in parts per billion (PPB) by mass (weight)*, with the equivalent in total metric tons for our 1 km. dia. asteroid.

* Iron - 220,000,000 PPB = 440,000,000 M.T. @ $410/M.T. = $180.4 Billion
* Magnesium - 120,000,000 PPB = 240,000,000 M.T. @ $3,460/M.T. = $830.4 Billion
* Nickel - 13,000,000 PPB = 26,000,000 M.T. @ $4,630/M.T. = $120.38 Billion
* Aluminum - 9,300,000 PPB = 18,600,000 M.T. @ $1,440/M.T. = $26.784 Billion
* Cobalt - 600,000 PPB = 1,200,000 M.T. @ $47,245/M.T. = $56.694 Billion
* Titanium - 550,000 PPB = 1,100,000 M.T. @ $9,650/M.T. = $10.615 Billion
* Platinum - 1,000 PPB = 2,000 M.T. @ $25,000,000/M.T. = $50 Billion

Of course, there are many other strategic metals (and non-metals) in equally staggering quantities on our asteroid, such as germanium, chromium, copper, zinc, rhodium, palladium, osmium, iridium, tellurium, and many more (78 quantified elements in our chart). But the seven elements listed above will do nicely for our illustration. Based on 1998 spot prices (except Platinum - $779./troy oz. or $25/gm.) for the above metals**, the total value of the above would be over $1.275 trillion! Breaking it down another way, these 7 elements would yield $637.64 in refined metals for each metric ton of ore. When all elements (excluding most alkaline metals and some non-metals - see Chart) are considered, the average value of refined elements per metric ton of ore is about $1,125.I believe my goal is to multiply/ figure out the mass of the entire asteroid belt and it's total gross economic value. I'm not going to get into the mining aspect, that's another story.
Well maybe not...If I'm on the right track... I'm supporting the development of the Constellation program combined with private sector commercial interests. Basically NASA will take us to the Moon again but private commercial investments wants to learn how to mine the Moon for technological development and then take that expertise to the asteroid belt.

Delta and Atlas can develop there own interplanetary heavy lift boosters in concert to eventually go to the asteroid belt but they seem to be 1 or 2 decades behind NASA.

Save NASAs Constellation program so the commercial market will eventually start making a profit in the decades to follow.

In conclusion, a nice number to come up with is the total gross net worth of the entire asteroid belt. And yes there's gold and Platinum...and it's worth a fortune.

America must take the lead in economic development of the asteroid belt and canceling the Constellation could set us behind 10 or 20 years. The nation that leads or effectively controls economic policy of the asteroid belt and beyond will be the one that gets rich.
And that means jobs. And it can start today. America must take the cooperative lead in space resources development and the world economy will be better for it.

Am I on the right track? Can you guess mistakes in this perception of data evaluation estimate?Any pro or cons are welcome. If this pulls together I could post the question or issue in the forum for planets but I'm having trouble with the math. That's why this post is here in this forum.Please respond to this forum and also copy and past replies to my home email address please.

It's kschopp@insightbb.com

Thank you kindly.

Hogan314
 
Last edited:
Mathematics news on Phys.org
Hogan 314 said:
What is 3.0Kg to the 1021st power Minimum guess. Then convert to metric tons.
Hogan314

>>> 3**1021
13829327731148890501220731636476540304644806547545703990764330804521445948787601897407173664400147304461806113534499079929952853873783735503013012480844784715340435133120836331066926664887274232798956223742469677362866775019172889345948788829502767837746384693446156856516107261429281047579807168166886526013946215090471503042389891073657638942696955311605634885953504556574767747608624532434706073536493313941367639400739736555811370885157649048044389914768491636899141150396382730013203

Seems you have more kg then there are atoms in the universe.

I suspect your calculation is a tad off. No point in converting this to metric tons.
 
Thread 'Video on imaginary numbers and some queries'
Hi, I was watching the following video. I found some points confusing. Could you please help me to understand the gaps? Thanks, in advance! Question 1: Around 4:22, the video says the following. So for those mathematicians, negative numbers didn't exist. You could subtract, that is find the difference between two positive quantities, but you couldn't have a negative answer or negative coefficients. Mathematicians were so averse to negative numbers that there was no single quadratic...
Insights auto threads is broken atm, so I'm manually creating these for new Insight articles. In Dirac’s Principles of Quantum Mechanics published in 1930 he introduced a “convenient notation” he referred to as a “delta function” which he treated as a continuum analog to the discrete Kronecker delta. The Kronecker delta is simply the indexed components of the identity operator in matrix algebra Source: https://www.physicsforums.com/insights/what-exactly-is-diracs-delta-function/ by...
Thread 'Unit Circle Double Angle Derivations'
Here I made a terrible mistake of assuming this to be an equilateral triangle and set 2sinx=1 => x=pi/6. Although this did derive the double angle formulas it also led into a terrible mess trying to find all the combinations of sides. I must have been tired and just assumed 6x=180 and 2sinx=1. By that time, I was so mindset that I nearly scolded a person for even saying 90-x. I wonder if this is a case of biased observation that seeks to dis credit me like Jesus of Nazareth since in reality...

Similar threads

Replies
1
Views
1K
Replies
10
Views
4K
Replies
1
Views
4K
Replies
1
Views
3K
Replies
14
Views
7K
Back
Top