Avian Flu Pandemic: Human-to-Human Transmission and Its Impact in Montana

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Human-to-human transmission of avian flu appears increasingly plausible, raising concerns about its potential impact. While some claims may be exaggerated, the risk is significant. Immunizing birds could inadvertently worsen the situation, as asymptomatic infected birds could spread the virus widely. Currently, symptomatic cases are primarily found in chickens and domesticated birds, while ducks, the virus's natural hosts, often show no symptoms. Recent mutations in the virus have made it more virulent in ducks, likely due to genetic mixing with other animals. Experts emphasize that, although human-to-human transmission has not been confirmed in the current pandemic, there is apprehension that a new, highly pathogenic strain emerging in Asia could pose a serious threat.
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It seems quite possible that human-to-human transmission of avian flu have occured.

http://www.iht.com/articles/540692.html
http://www.helenair.com/articles/2004/09/20/montana_top/a05092004_01.txt

How bad is this?
 
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It is half true, half hysteria.

Immunising birds could also amplify the problem. I can imagine the horror of an infected bird, with no symptoms of the flu, being an active carrier and spreading the infection everywhere. And when the virus does jump to humans, it is already immune to existing vaccines. Hows that for fear mongering?
 
Jikx said:
I can imagine the horror of an infected bird, with no symptoms of the flu, being an active carrier and spreading the infection everywhere.

The only birds that have symptomes are usually the chicken and domesticated birds but the duck and relatives, these are the natural host, do not show symptomes since the virus has reach evolutionnary stasis. However, virus have recently evolved to be come more virulent in the duck and this is probably due to the mixing in another animal. We had a whole seminar 2 weeks ago with a avian flu expert and he explain all this. He was also saying that in the current pandemic human-human transmission had yet to be seen and proven but he had the same fear that the new virus in asia could be the next killer because it was highly pathogenic.
 
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