bolbteppa
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Lubos wrote up an analysis of Carroll's paper that I'd say should factor into this discussion.
For example:
For example:
An example of Carroll-Sebens circular reasonining is that they assume that small off-diagonal entries of a density matrix may be neglected – they assume it before they derive or admit that the small entries correspond to probabilities. That's, of course, illegitimate. If you want to replace a small quantity by zero, and to be able to see whether the replacement is really justified, you have to know what the quantity actually is. Moreover, these things are only negligible if classical physics becomes OK, so whatever you do with this approximation is clearly saying nothing whatsoever about the intrinsic, truly quantum, properties of quantum mechanics in the quantum regime!
...
The other obvious problem with the ESP quote above is that it says what the "credence" is independent of. But a usable theory should actually say what it does depend upon. Ideally, one should have a formula. If one has a formula, one immediately sees what it depends upon and what it doesn't depend upon. A person who actually has a theory would never try to make these unnecessarily weak statements that something does not depend on something else. Isn't it far more sensible and satisfactory to say what the quantity does depend upon – and what it's really equal to? Quantum mechanics answers all these questions very explicitly, Carroll and Sebens don't.