Card Hand probabilities: Discrete Math

AI Thread Summary
The discussion focuses on calculating probabilities related to drawing aces from a 5-card hand in a 52-card deck. Key points include determining the probability of having at least two aces given at least one ace, and the probabilities associated with specific conditions like having the ace of diamonds or a red ace. Participants explore using combinatorial calculations to find probabilities for different scenarios, emphasizing the importance of understanding conditional probabilities and unions. The conversation highlights the need to calculate distinct probabilities for hands with varying numbers of aces and how to combine them effectively. Overall, the thread provides insights into applying discrete math principles to card probability problems.
SammC
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Homework Statement


In the following you are given a 5-card hand from a 52 card deck.
a) given that you have at least one ace, what is the probability you have at least 2 aces?
b) given that you have the ace of diamonds, what is the probability that you have another ace?
c) given that you have a red ace, what is the probability you have another ace?
d) Suppose you select a card from your hand at random and it is an ace. What is the probability you have another ace.


Homework Equations


pr(not a) = 1 - pr(a)
pr(A given B) = Pr(A and B) / Pr(B)


The Attempt at a Solution



C(X,Y) is X choose Y here.

Pr(A): The chance of drawing AT LEAST one Ace is 1 - C(48,5)/C(52,5) =~ .6588

Pr(B): The probability of having at least 2 aces: ?
Pr(A and B): ?

pr(C): That you have the ace of diamonds in a 5 card hand is 1-C(51,5)/C(52,5) =~ .096
Pr(C and B):?

pr(D): That you have at least one red ace in a 5 card hand: 1-C(50,5)/C(52,5) =~ .1848
(im not sure if i want the probability of having exactly 1 red ace, or at least one)
Pr(D and B):?


Finding all of the "?" probabilities should allow me to calculate problems a-c, but i really don't know how to find PR(X AND Y) with these problems, nor do I know how to get the probability of having at least two aces.
 
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Probability of having at least two aces...
Hmmm...
You can calculate the probability of having exactly 4 aces + exactly 3 aces + exactly 2 aces.

Pr(4) = C(4,4)C(48,1)/C(52,5)
Pr(3) = C(4,3)C(48,2)/C(52,5)
Pr(2) = C(4,2)C(48,3)/C(52,5)
Add 'em up.
 
Thanks, that makes sense.

How do you go about getting the probability of the union though?
 
Since you are enumerating distinct hands (no hand with exactly 2 aces is a hand with exactly one ace) you can simply add the probabilities.
Pr(x>1)= Pr(x=2) + Pr(x=3) + Pr(x=4).
 
what about pr(1 ace red AND at least 2 aces) one is not necessarily in the other in this case, same with 1 ace diamond
 

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