Determine if the next number will be larger or smaller

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on predicting the next number in a sequence based on previous values. The provided numbers are 4, 5, 7, 1, 1, 2, 8, 3, 35, and 2, with an average of 6.8. Participants conclude that without a defined rule or probability distribution for the sequence, it is impossible to accurately determine whether the next number will be larger or smaller. The example of a complex number sequence, such as 3+5i, illustrates the necessity of having a generating rule to make predictions.

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msticky
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4
5
7
1
1
2
8
3
35
2

If I get the average of the numbers above I get 6.8

Its seems to me that I should be able to determine if the next number will be larger or smaller
by the last few numbers.

For instance the second last value of 35 is large, should I not get a series of smaller numbers?

Can I determine if the next numbers will be lower and when they may get larger?
 
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msticky said:
4
5
7
1
1
2
8
3
35
2

If I get the average of the numbers above I get 6.8

Its seems to me that I should be able to determine if the next number will be larger or smaller
by the last few numbers.

For instance the second last value of 35 is large, should I not get a series of smaller numbers?

Can I determine if the next numbers will be lower and when they may get larger?
There is no way to determine a unique next number unless you give a rule for how they are generated.

For example, I can just say that the next number is ##3+5i##. This is perfectly true if I define a pointwise sequence with the last term being ##3+5i##.
 
Without information on the rule, probability distribution and/or the allowed range of numbers, there's no way to tell.
 

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