Vanadium 50 said:
I have a marble on top of a perfectly conical hill. When it falls down the hill, how do I predict the direction it "chooses"?
Good model, I like it. In physics it's fine, and indeed it will be impossible to predict exactly how will be fall, but if we can add some abstract level we can easily determine. Let's say we have infinitely powerful zoom glass.,.
And indetermined becoming determined.
Doc Al said:
The chaos comes from extreme sensitivity to initial conditions, which came as a surprise to the first ones who discovered this.
@Vanadium 50 gives a good example, as does the Wiki page (double-rod pendulum). Everything is completely determined, but ever so slight variations in initial conditions lead to wildly different consequences.
I have initial condition that I can set as ##2,999... = 3,000...##, then I have changed it slightly to ##5,000...##, the change is equal to ##2,000...##, all this conditions and the difference have infinity precision, it's actually fractions with infinite mantise. I have obtain widely different, but still truly deterministic result, there is no chaos. Well, at least my poor knowledge say it to me...
phyzguy said:
In an extreme case, read about "
riddled basins of attraction." These are cases where you can end up with one of two possible outcomes (say A and B), depending on where you start. But, arbitrarily close to a point that ends up at A, there are points that end up at B, and arbitrarily close to points that end up at B, there are points that end up at A. So the points that end up at A or B are in some sense infinitely close together. So you would need infinite precision to predict whether an initial point will end up at A or B.
And I have read it! And I hope I uderstood good the basic idea... And I can say that I can always choose infinitely small ##b_{\varepsilon}## which will be a border for the point ##p##, in other words we can direct the radius ##\varepsilon## to the zero, and zero is by definition ##0 < \varepsilon##, so the point ##p## is preciously defined.
anorlunda said:
I think you missed the key word "apparently" random. Deterministic yet apparently random.
The point is there is a book which I understand almost nothing, the monography of some brain-like mathematicians, but it actually says that word "definitely" or "mathematically rigorously" should be used instead of apparently. There is two way to show it (and I don't even know if it mathematical prove or not), first way is crazy thing that called Solomonoff-Kolmogorov randomness, the second insane thing is called Rannou's mapping. I will put some screen shot of the book and the paper of Rannou F. 1974 year, which is somekind of a topological crazines which is shows that. The article is in public access on the suite of the journal so I have attached it to the post.
The screen shot with a topological "proof" —
Lichtenberg and Lieberman, "Regular and Chaotic Dymanics", 1992 year, pages 306-310.
I will try to translate, bu I have a poor knowledge of English:
"Rennou (she) has defined "the randomness" of periodical trajectories in the next way. It's have only ##M!## one-to-one mappings ##M## points on themselves. Writing the same probability ##\dfrac{1}{M!}## to any of that mappings, we obtain a "random" mapping. This mapping is have a next statistical properties:
- The probability of the trajectory with the length of ##n##, that exit from the given point ##(a, b)##, is equal ##\dfrac{1}{M}## and not depends on ##n##.
- The average length of the trajectory ##\dfrac{M + 1}{2}##.
- The average number of the all trajectories is approximately equal ##\ln{M} + \gamma##, where ##\gamma = 0,577\ldots## — the constant of Euler.
The numberly modelling of the mapping... has proved this properties of "randomly" mapping.
This results is serve as the confirmation of that, the chaotic motion which is observed in hamilton's systems is a consequent of of their dynamics but not the result finitelity of calculus..."
How to understand it?
Filip Larsen said:
Another (visual) example that may be helpful for understanding sensitivity on initial conditions is the process of mixing of colors (see also [1]).
Put a red and blue slab of clay on top of each other, fold them...
A very nice analogy! But the point of abstract level is that we precisely knows the position of two points, with an infinity precision, and the folding proces is deterministic, now matter how complicated, so we suppose to obtain a totally predictable and one-to-one in terms of initial points result.