Exponential Distribution with Probability

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around the exponential distribution, specifically focusing on the probability calculations related to the distribution function and its parameters. Participants are examining the implications of using different logarithmic bases in their calculations and verifying the correctness of their results.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants are attempting to calculate probabilities using the exponential distribution and are questioning the values of the parameter beta. They are also exploring the differences between logarithmic functions and their implications on calculations.

Discussion Status

Some participants are seeking confirmation on their calculations and the value of beta. There is a focus on clarifying notation and conventions used in probability density functions and cumulative distribution functions. While some results appear to be validated, there is no explicit consensus on the correctness of all calculations.

Contextual Notes

Participants are discussing the assumptions related to the exponential distribution and the implications of using different logarithmic bases. There is a mention of notation conventions that may affect clarity in communication.

Askhwhelp
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$$f(y) = \begin{cases} \int_0^y\frac1\beta e^{\frac {-t}\beta}dt = -e^{\frac {-y}\beta}+1 & \text{for } 0 ≤ y < ∞,\\ 0& \text{for } elsewhere\end{cases}$$

P(Y>3) = 1 - P(Y ≤ 3) = 1 - (-e^{-3/beta}+1) = .1353

When I take log to both sides, I get 3.453.
When I take ln to both sides, I get 1.4998. When I plug it back into the equation, 1.4998 looks right...However, I puzzle why there is a difference?

Before this, could anyone please make sure beta = 1.4998?

(1) P(Y<0) = 0, right?

(2) P(Y<1) = -e^{1/1.4998} + 1 = .4866 , right?
 
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However, I puzzle why there is a difference?
ln(e^x)=x, but log10(e^x) is not x. I guess you did a calculation error somewhere.
 
mfb said:
ln(e^x)=x, but log10(e^x) is not x. I guess you did a calculation error somewhere.

you mean beta is not 1.4998?

Could you also check (1) and (2) for me?
 
Askhwhelp said:
$$f(y) = \begin{cases} \int_0^y\frac1\beta e^{\frac {-t}\beta}dt = -e^{\frac {-y}\beta}+1 & \text{for } 0 ≤ y < ∞,\\ 0& \text{for } elsewhere\end{cases}$$

P(Y>3) = 1 - P(Y ≤ 3) = 1 - (-e^{-3/beta}+1) = .1353

When I take log to both sides, I get 3.453.
When I take ln to both sides, I get 1.4998. When I plug it back into the equation, 1.4998 looks right...However, I puzzle why there is a difference?

Before this, could anyone please make sure beta = 1.4998?

(1) P(Y<0) = 0, right?

(2) P(Y<1) = -e^{1/1.4998} + 1 = .4866 , right?

Your notation is against all the conventions. Almost 100% of the time we denote the density function by f and the (cumulative) distribution function by F, so
f(t) = \begin{cases}r e^{-rt}, &amp; t \geq 0\\ 0, &amp; t &lt; 0 \end{cases} \; \text{ and }\; F(t) = \int_{-\infty}^t f(s) \, ds = \begin{cases}1-e^{-rt} &amp; t \geq 0\\ 0 &amp; t &lt; 0 \end{cases}<br />
It is also much more convenient to write the exponential in terms of the rate parameter (r) instead of the mean (1/r); however, if you prefer to use 1/r that is OK too. It is also faster to remember the result that ##P\{Y > t\} = e^{-rt}##, but, of course, that is what you ended up doing.

Your results look OK to me.
 

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