MHB Fish Pond Challenge: Show Equilibrium Variation with $R_f$

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The discussion centers on a differential equation modeling fish population dynamics in a pond, influenced by fishing rates. For removal rates less than a quarter of the equilibrium population, the fish population stabilizes at an equilibrium between half and the full capacity of the pond. Conversely, if the removal rate is equal to or exceeds this threshold, the population may decline significantly, potentially leading to extinction. Participants seek solutions for both scenarios, emphasizing the implications of fishing on ecological balance. The challenge highlights the importance of understanding population dynamics in resource management.
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Suppose a pond contains $x(t)$ fish at time $t$, and $x(t)$ changes according to the DE:
\[\frac{\mathrm{d} x}{\mathrm{d} t} = x\left ( 1-\frac{x}{x_0} \right )-R_f\]
where $x_0$ is the equilibrium amount with no fishing and $R_f > 0$ is the constant rate of removal due to fishing. Assume $x(0) = \frac{x_0}{2}$.

(a). If $R_f < \frac{x_0}{4}$, solve for $x(t)$ and show that it tends to an equilibrium amount between $\frac{x_0}{2}$ and $x_0$.
(b). What happens if $R_f \geq \frac{x_0}{4}$?
 
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There was a https://mathhelpboards.com/calculus-10/help-derivative-22779.html on logistic growth with constant harvesting a few months ago.

In particular, if we start with the system given in post #5 there, and we non-dimensionalize by introducing a new time $\tau := (r K) t$ and a new unknown $x(\tau) := P(t(\tau))$, then in these new terms we have
\[
\frac{dx}{d\tau} = \frac{1}{rK}\frac{dP}{dt} = P\left(1 - \frac{P}{K}\right) - \frac{H}{rK} = x\left(1 - \frac{x}{K}\right) - \frac{H}{r K}.
\]
This is the system given in the challenge if we set $K := x_0$, $R_f := \frac{H}{r K}$ and we abuse notation by denoting non-dimensional time again with $t$ instead of $\tau$.

It is nice to see a problem on population dynamics, by the way.
 
Krylov said:
There was a https://mathhelpboards.com/calculus-10/help-derivative-22779.html on logistic growth with constant harvesting a few months ago.

In particular, if we start with the system given in post #5 there, and we non-dimensionalize by introducing a new time $\tau := (r K) t$ and a new unknown $x(\tau) := P(t(\tau))$, then in these new terms we have
\[
\frac{dx}{d\tau} = \frac{1}{rK}\frac{dP}{dt} = P\left(1 - \frac{P}{K}\right) - \frac{H}{rK} = x\left(1 - \frac{x}{K}\right) - \frac{H}{r K}.
\]
This is the system given in the challenge if we set $K := x_0$, $R_f := \frac{H}{r K}$ and we abuse notation by denoting non-dimensional time again with $t$ instead of $\tau$.

It is nice to see a problem on population dynamics, by the way.

Thankyou very much, Krylov! (Handshake)
May I ask for the answers of (a). and (b). in the challenge, based on the logistic growth model, you refer to?
 
Suggested solution:

\[\frac{\mathrm{d} x}{\mathrm{d} t}=x-\frac{x^2}{x_0} - R_f=-\frac{1}{x_0}\left ( x-\frac{x_0}{2} \right )^2+\left ( \frac{x_0}{4}-R_f \right ).\]

Let $\frac{1}{\sqrt{x_0}}\left ( x-\frac{x_0}{2} \right )=y(t)$, so that $\sqrt{x_0}dy = dx$ and $y(0) = 0$.
Also, let $a^2 = \left | \frac{x_0}{4}-R_f \right |$. In these terms the D.E. is

\[-dt = \frac{\sqrt{x_0}dy}{y^2\mp a^2}\]
where $a^2 = 0$ if $R_f = \frac{x_0}{4}$, negative if $R_f < \frac{x_0}{4}$, and positive if $R_f > \frac{x_0}{4}$.
(a). When $R_f < \frac{x_0}{4}$, $-t = \frac{\sqrt{x_0}}{2a}\ln \left ( \frac{a-y}{a+y} \right )+c$. Since $y(0) = 0$, we have $c = 0$, and so
\[e^{\frac{-2at}{\sqrt{x_0}}}= \frac{a-y}{a+y} = \frac{2a}{a+y}-1\]
i.e. \[y = \frac{2a}{1+e^{\frac{-2at}{\sqrt{x_0}}}}-a.\]

As $t \rightarrow \infty$, clearly $y \rightarrow a$, i.e.
\[\frac{1}{\sqrt{x_0}}\left ( x-\frac{x_0}{2} \right )\rightarrow \sqrt{\frac{x_0}{4}-R_f}\]

and so \[x \rightarrow \frac{x_0}{2}+\sqrt{\frac{x_0^2}{4}-R_fx_0}.\]

(b). When $R_f = \frac{x_0}{4}$, the original equation is

\[\frac{\mathrm{d} x}{\mathrm{d} t}=x-\frac{x^2}{x_0} - R_f=-\frac{1}{x_0}\left ( x-\frac{x_0}{2} \right )^2,\]
which has the obvious constant solution $x(t) = \frac{x_0}{2} = x(0)$.
When $R_f > \frac{x_0}{4}$, \[-t = \frac{\sqrt{x_0}}{a}\arctan \left ( \frac{y}{a} \right ) + c.\]

Again $c = 0$. Now, $-\tan \left ( \frac{at}{\sqrt{x_0}}\right )=\frac{y}{a}$, or $-\sqrt{R_f-\frac{x_0}{4}}\tan \left ( \frac{\sqrt{R_f-\frac{x_0}{4}}}{\sqrt{x_0}}t\right ) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{x_0}}\left ( x-\frac{x_0}{2} \right )$, and so
\[x = \frac{x_0}{2}-\sqrt{R_fx_0-\frac{x_0^2}{4}}\: \tan \left ( \sqrt{\frac{R_f}{x_0}-\frac{1}{4}}\: \cdot t\right ).\]
This is a decreasing function of $t$, which becomes $0$, when $\tan \left ( \sqrt{\frac{R_f}{x_0}-\frac{1}{4}}\: \cdot t\right ) = \frac{x_0}{2\sqrt{R_fx_0-\frac{x_0^2}{4}}}$.
So, the fish population becomes $0$ in a finite time.
 

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