Evo said:
We're not talking about music. We're talking about science, we're talking about peer review, although that is merely croynism in too many cases as has sadly been revealed in some horrendous abuses lately. (MMR vaccine scare fraud is one horrific case)
I doubt that there is a huge number of bored teenagers wanting to set up sites for illegal downloads of scientific papers.
And let's be very clear, posting copyrighted material without authorization is ILLEGAL and this forum will not in any way, shape, or form allow discussion of or condone illegal behavior.
I don't condone the posting, or acquisition of material that an individual or entity doesn't have the legal rights to use. My concern is that such a black market could evolve in response to the ease of Peer to Peer sharing, file-swarming, and low-level encryption being easier to implement. True, it's not likely that a gang of precocious teens will loot the APA database, but it just takes one person to do it, and not even from this country!
Remember Dalnet on Irc? Good or bad, they were destroyed by a (probably Turkish) botnet using illegal means. On the other hand you have iTunes, Amazon, and a billion (ok... half a billion) others who are happy to make a buck by reading the writing on the wall. It's hard to believe that this is truly a great bastion beyond reach.
Besides, the most concerning pirates for industries are academic and corporate. Not because they steal outright, but there's the "dubbing" effect; one copy is purchased, yet somehow everyone has it. Curious teens aren't spending on APA material anyway, but they do odd things in the name of "taking down the man". By the time they realize what the full impact of their actions are, the damage can be done.
For instance, Sony's PS3 had it's master encryption key broken and published, and forevermore is a system that is literally dominated by bad actors. Sony has been at the forefront of DRM, and the person who cracked this had nothing to do with piracy. The result however, is the same: Sony panics and loses money, publishers worry about the fate of their titles, and end-users become anxious about the security of the product and their online experience.
So... Sony will doubtless be very careful in the future, under the continuing assumption that what they make won't break. It's a vicious cycle that is obviously replete with fuel in that arena, but given time... I can see that spreading. I don't' think the result would be good for ANYONE involved.