vanhees71 said:
The complete opposite is true: The successful and highly significant violation of Bell's theorem shows that the measurement results are not predetermined but truly random.
Let's stick with the EPR-Bohm experiment first:
At two distant locations (A and B) you can measure the X-spin of an entangled pair. QM predicts that if you measure the X-spin at A, the B particle "collapses" to a X-spin eigenstate. Let's say that we get UP at A. After the A measurement, B is DOWN.
Since the measurements can be arranged to be space-like and assuming locality, we can conclude that the A measurement did not disturb B. So, the status of B after the A measurement should be the same as the one before the A measurement. So, we can conclude that B was DOWN even before the A measurement took place. This also implies that A was UP even before the A measurement took place.
So, we have proven, with no other assumption than locality, that both measurements were predetermined. Local non-determinism has been proven to be impossible.
Bell's theorem does not exclude all deterministic theories. Bell's theorem requires that the hidden variables should be independent of detectors' settings. Local deterministic models that violate that assumption have been proposed, like:
Quantum mechanics from classical statistics
C. Wetterich
Annals Phys. 325 (2010) 852
DOI: 10.1016/j.aop.2009.12.006
Abstract:
"Quantum mechanics can emerge from classical statistics. A typical quantum system describes an isolated subsystem of a classical statistical ensemble with infinitely many classical states. The state of this subsystem can be characterized by only a few probabilistic observables. Their expectation values define a density matrix if they obey a "purity constraint". Then all the usual laws of quantum mechanics follow, including Heisenberg's uncertainty relation, entanglement and a violation of Bell's inequalities. No concepts beyond classical statistics are needed for quantum physics - the differences are only apparent and result from the particularities of those classical statistical systems which admit a quantum mechanical description. Born's rule for quantum mechanical probabilities follows from the probability concept for a classical statistical ensemble. In particular, we show how the non-commuting properties of quantum operators are associated to the use of conditional probabilities within the classical system, and how a unitary time evolution reflects the isolation of the subsystem. As an illustration, we discuss a classical statistical implementation of a quantum computer."
Fast Vacuum Fluctuations and the Emergence of Quantum Mechanics
Gerard 't Hooft
Found.Phys. 51 (2021) 3, 63
DOI: 10.1007/s10701-021-00464-7
"Fast moving classical variables can generate quantum mechanical behavior. We demonstrate how this can happen in a model. The key point is that in classically (ontologically) evolving systems one can still define a conserved quantum energy. For the fast variables, the energy levels are far separated, such that one may assume these variables to stay in their ground state. This forces them to be entangled, so that, consequently, the slow variables are entangled as well. The fast variables could be the vacuum fluctuations caused by unknown super heavy particles. The emerging quantum effects in the light particles are expressed by a Hamiltonian that can have almost any form. The entire system is ontological, and yet allows one to generate interference effects in computer models. This seemed to lead to an inexplicable paradox, which is now resolved: exactly what happens in our models if we run a quantum interference experiment in a classical computer is explained. The restriction that very fast variables stay predominantly in their ground state appears to be due to smearing of the physical states in the time direction, preventing their direct detection. Discussions are added of the emergence of quantum mechanics, and the ontology of an EPR/Bell Gedanken experiment."
vanhees71 said:
So far there's not the slightest hint at an "underlying deterministic layer governing quantum phenomena".
Given that only determinism can provide a local description of the EPR experiment and the very high prior probability one should ascribe to locality we can conclude that we have very good reasons to believe in the existence of that deterministic layer.