ISS Toolbag visible with the naked eye now

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The ISS Toolbag is currently visible to the naked eye and is losing altitude rapidly, with reports indicating a descent rate of approximately 4 to 10 kilometers per day. Observations show it reached a magnitude of 8.6, appearing quite bright through a telescope. The Heavens-Above predictions were slightly inaccurate, being off by about 7 arcminutes in position and 20 seconds in timing. As it approaches a height of 170 km, it is expected to lose altitude more quickly, potentially leading to re-entry in just a few days. The toolbag has already fallen into the Pacific Ocean, narrowly missing visibility over regions like Mexico and Texas.
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Saw it with a telescope; it was magnitude 8.6, but appeared remarkably bright. The Heavens-Above prediction was about 7 arcminutes off in position and 20 seconds off in time.
 
Count Iblis said:
It's a few days before re-entry now:

http://heavens-above.com/PassSummary.aspx?satid=33442&lat=0&lng=0&loc=Unspecified&alt=0&tz=CET

It is losing height at a rate of about 10 km per day and when it comes below 170 km it will lose that amount of height every hour.
Exactly where do you get the number 10 for kilometers rate of fall per day? I have recorded the numbers almost daily since last November and made a graph recently. Even now it is falling at about 4 km per day. I have read that 200 km is a height where it will decay rapidly and you may be right that 170 km could be the end. Anyhow it should be soon.
 
Yes, I was wrong by about a factor 2. I think the Heavens-Above website a few days ago was a bit behind updating the height, skipping one day, giving the false impression that the descent rate had increased a lot.
 
The toolbag has dropped in the Pacific. Had it dropped just a little later, it would have been visible over Mexico and Texas.
 

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