- #36
matt grime
Science Advisor
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A stastician would call them, probably, independent. The mutaully exclusivity is neither here nor there.
Peng said:Alright, I've been trying to convince my friend that the outcomes of a coin flip x times in a row affects the x+1'th time. If you flip a coin 4 times and they are all heads, the 5th time is more likely to be a tail because if the coin is even, over time there should be as many tails as there are heads. I even tried to prove it to him using math:
P(5 heads in a row) = .5^5 = 0.03125
P(4 heads in a row) = .5^4 = 0.0625
Alas, my 22-year-old actually thinks this way.Erazman said:This is logic the average 8 year old would figure out.
I'm going to jump off a bridge. If my chance of living is 50/50, and i survive
then for sure next time will be death!