MHB Poisson Distribution: Prob of <=3 Wrong Connections in Building

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The discussion revolves around calculating the probability of at most 3 wrong connections in a building with two independent telephone exchanges, A and B, modeled as Poisson variables. Exchange A has a parameter of 0.5, while exchange B has a parameter of 1. The user initially attempted to calculate this probability using a specific formula but found the answer to be incorrect. The correct approach involves using the conditional probability formula, specifically P(X+Y≤3|X≥2), which incorporates the probabilities of different combinations of wrong connections. The conversation emphasizes the importance of correctly applying the Poisson distribution in this context.
Punch
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A building has 2 independent automatc telephone exchanges A and B. The number X of wrong connections for A in anyone day is a poisson variable with parameter 0.5 and the number Y of wrong connections for B in any one day is a poisson variable with parameter 1.

Calculate in any particular day, the probability that there will be at most 3 wrong connections in the building given X≥2

I tried using P(X=2)P(Y=0)+P(X=2)P(Y=1)+P(X=3)P(Y=0) but the answer was wrong
 
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Punch said:
A building has 2 independent automatc telephone exchanges A and B. The number X of wrong connections for A in anyone day is a poisson variable with parameter 0.5 and the number Y of wrong connections for B in any one day is a poisson variable with parameter 1.

Calculate in any particular day, the probability that there will be at most 3 wrong connections in the building given X≥2

I tried using P(X=2)P(Y=0)+P(X=2)P(Y=1)+P(X=3)P(Y=0) but the answer was wrong

\[P(X+Y\le 3|X\ge 2)=\frac{P(X=3)P(Y=0)+P(X=2)P(Y\le 1)}{P(X\ge 2)}\]CB
 
Here is a little puzzle from the book 100 Geometric Games by Pierre Berloquin. The side of a small square is one meter long and the side of a larger square one and a half meters long. One vertex of the large square is at the center of the small square. The side of the large square cuts two sides of the small square into one- third parts and two-thirds parts. What is the area where the squares overlap?

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