Probability- Expected value of e^x

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around finding the expected value of e^x where x is normally distributed. Participants explore the use of moment generating functions and the definition of expected value in this context.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Some participants attempt to express the expected value using moment generating functions, while others question the formulation of the problem and the assumptions regarding the distribution of x. There are discussions about the simplification steps and the clarity of the final answer.

Discussion Status

The conversation includes various interpretations of the problem and attempts to clarify the use of moment generating functions. Some participants express confusion about the calculations and the assumptions made, while others suggest alternative approaches to compute the expected value.

Contextual Notes

There are indications of missing clarity in the original problem statement regarding the distribution of x, leading to questions about the assumptions made by the original poster. Additionally, there are discussions about the validity of substituting values into the moment generating function.

Roni1985
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Homework Statement


Find E[e^x] where x~N([tex]\mu[/tex], sigma squared)

Homework Equations


The Attempt at a Solution



It looks like a moment generating function.
Here is what I did:
Assume X= [tex]\mu[/tex] + [tex]\sigma[/tex]*Z

E[etx]= E[et([tex]\mu[/tex]+[tex]\sigma[/tex]*Z)]

I simplified it and used the fact of moment generating functions and got
=exp{[tex]\sigma[/tex]2*t2/2+[tex]\mu[/tex]*t}
I plugged in t=1 and that was my answer.

Do you think it makes sense?
Is there a better/faster way?

Thanks.
 
Last edited:
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Your statement of the problem appear garbled. Did it just say "Find the expectation of e^x", without telling you how x was distributed?

You say that you assume x is normally distributed. Why did you write it as
[tex]\mu + \sigma * N(\mu,\sigma_2)[/tex] ?

It's just a general to write it as [tex]\mu + \sigma N(0,1)[/tex]
 
Stephen Tashi said:
Your statement of the problem appear garbled. Did it just say "Find the expectation of e^x", without telling you how x was distributed?

You say that you assume x is normally distributed. Why did you write it as
[tex]\mu + \sigma * N(\mu,\sigma_2)[/tex] ?

It's just a general to write it as [tex]\mu + \sigma N(0,1)[/tex]

You are totally right... hold on... editing my question
 
Last edited:
Roni1985 said:
Here is what I did:
Assume X= [tex]\mu[/tex] + [tex]\sigma[/tex]*Z
E[etx]= E[et([tex]\mu[/tex]+[tex]\sigma[/tex]*Z)]

I simplified it and used the fact of moment generating functions

Explain what you mean by "the fact of moment generating functions".

and got
=exp{[itex]\sigma[/itex]2*t2/2+[itex]\mu[/itex]*t}


I plugged in t=1 and that was my answer.

Do you think it makes sense?

It doesn't make sense to me. You didn't really say what your answer was.
 
Stephen Tashi said:
Explain what you mean by "the fact of moment generating functions".
It doesn't make sense to me. You didn't really say what your answer was.

This is my final answer:
exp{sigma^2/2+[tex]\mu[/tex]}

How would you approach this question?
 
The moment generating function for the random variable

[tex]e^x = e^{(\mu + \sigma z)}[/tex]

is

[tex]E( e^{t e^{\mu + \sigma z}})[/tex]

which looks difficult to compute.

It seems simpler to compute the expected value from the definition of expected value.

[tex]E( e^x) = E(e^{\mu + \sigma z}) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{\mu + \sigma z} e^{ \frac{-z^2}{2} } dz[/tex]
 
Stephen Tashi said:
The moment generating function for the random variable

[tex]e^x = e^{(\mu + \sigma z)}[/tex]

is

[tex]E( e^{t e^{\mu + \sigma z}})[/tex]

which looks difficult to compute.

It seems simpler to compute the expected value from the definition of expected value.

[tex]E( e^x) = E(e^{\mu + \sigma z}) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{\mu + \sigma z} e^{ \frac{-z^2}{2} } dz[/tex]

Got it... the moment generating function of a normally distributed r.v. solves the same integral.

Thanks very much for the help... appreciate it.

Roni.
 
Roni1985 said:
Got it... the moment generating function of a normally distributed r.v. solves the same integral.

You'll have to explain that to me Roni, I don't see it.

And, by the way, I don't think you substitute t = 1 into the moment generating function of a random variable to get the mean of the random variable.
 

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