Probability of getting two boys question

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SUMMARY

The probability of having two boys in a family with two children, given that at least one child is a boy, is 1/3 or approximately 0.33. The possible combinations of children are boy-girl, girl-boy, and boy-boy, excluding the girl-girl combination. The confusion arises from incorrectly including the girl-girl option in the initial probability calculation, which leads to an incorrect probability of 0.25. The correct approach focuses solely on the valid combinations where at least one child is a boy.

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Dell
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in a family with 2 children , what is the possibility that there will be 2 boys if we know that at least one is a boy,

the correct answer is 0.33 but how do i get it,


the way i see it we have 4 options
boy girl
girl boy
boy boy
girl girl

therefore only one is a boy- boy option, therefore p=0.25
 
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i see my problem, the options are
boy girl
girl boy
boy boy

so it really is 1/3, but how do i get this using equations

using P(X/Y) etc
 
What you have done is a perfectly valid method and far easier than "using equations".
 

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