Baseball probability question On the morning of September 30, 1982 the won lost records of the three leading baseball teams were as follows W L braves 87 72 giants 86 73 dodgers 86 73 Each team had 3 remaining games to be played. 3 Giants Vs dodgers games 3 braves vs Padres. Suppose all outcomes of the games are independent and equally likely to be won by either participant,. what are the probabilities that each team wins the division. In the event of a tie, same scenario in a playoff. Okay, so the answers to this are 38/64, 13/64/, and 13/64 net victories are 15,14,14 .... I am not really sure how to even approach? do I just do the ideal victory scenario for each one. Do I have to factor in a scenario such as Braves win all three Giants one Dodgers 2 + probability of Braves in all three Giants 3 Dodgers 0? I would imagine I have to use Bayes Theorem somehow before the end?