Probability that a chip is operative

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In summary, the problem involves a chip with 20 identical transistors, where the chip will still function if no more than 3 transistors have failed. The probability that any given transistor has failed is 0.1. To calculate the probability that the chip is operative, the formula \sum_{n=0}^{3}\binom{20}{n} 0.1^{n} (1-0.1)^{20-n} is used. However, this approach may seem counterintuitive as the probability of the chip being operative is actually higher with 10 transistors (p=0.9872) compared to 20 transistors (p=0.8670), despite having
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SamTaylor
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Homework Statement


A chip contains twenty identical transistors, which are connected in such a way
that the chip will perform its function provided that no more than three of the
transistors have failed. The probability that any given transistor has failed
equal 0.1. Calculate the probability that the chip is operative.

The Attempt at a Solution


[tex]\sum_{n=0}^{3}\binom{20}{n} 0.1^{n} (1-0.1)^{20-n}[/tex]

But this can not be right since the probability that the chip is still working
is higher with less transistors but with the same failed number.

20 transistors p = 0.8670
10 transistors p = 0.9872

Can someone give me a hint please.
 
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  • #2
I didn't check your calculations, but your approach is correct. Your result is actually reasonable. When you have 20 transistors, there are many more ways to have up to 3 fail than when you have only 10 transistors.
 

1. What is the definition of "probability" in this context?

Probability is a measure of the likelihood that a given event will occur. In this context, it refers to the chance that a chip will be operative.

2. How is the probability of a chip being operative calculated?

The probability of a chip being operative is calculated by dividing the number of operative chips by the total number of chips in the sample. For example, if there are 100 chips in a sample and 75 of them are operative, the probability would be 75/100, or 0.75.

3. What factors can affect the probability of a chip being operative?

The probability of a chip being operative can be affected by various factors, such as the quality of the materials used in its production, the manufacturing process, and external factors like temperature and humidity.

4. How can probability be used in decision making for chips?

Probability can be used in decision making for chips by providing insight into the likelihood of a chip being operative. This information can be used to make informed decisions about quality control measures, production processes, and other factors that may affect the probability of a chip being operative.

5. Is probability the same as certainty?

No, probability and certainty are not the same. Probability is a measure of likelihood, while certainty refers to a situation where something is bound to happen with 100% assurance. In the context of chips, a probability of 1 would mean that all chips are operative, while a probability of 0 would mean that none of the chips are operative. Anything in between 0 and 1 represents a level of uncertainty.

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