- #1
RenasontsMan
- 11
- 0
If you have played games of chance, you may have seen rolls of the dice, or flops of the cards that did not strike you as being random. I have played many games of backgammon, where the roll of the dice trumps talent. You can be bearing your checkers off, and lightning strikes. You get hit, your opponent fills his prime, and you sit and watch as he merrily rolls the dice and you roll 3-3, and then 3-1, and then 1-1, etc.
My opponent once had three men exposed on his back row. THREE! I was plowing ahead and bearing off, leaving one checker he might hit with a roll of 1-X or X-1. Not to worry. I had three chances to hit him back IF he got me.
Well, he rolled 1-1 and not only hit me, but COVERED every one of his three exposed men in his home row. I was twitterpated. Unfair, I say.
Now this brings to mind a test which I dare say not one of you could pass.
Let me offer up a series of dice rolls as you play backgammon. I will be behind a screen and
roll the dice and then call out the numbers. I may be honest or not.
HOW would you tell, dear physics intellectual, if I were cheating on any given single roll, series of rolls, or all of them? You would have to rely on simplistic statistical tests, as if 6-6 or acey-deucey wouldn't be likely to come up three or four times in a row.
It just so happens that my little girl was playing the acey-deucey variation of backgammon with her cousin some time ago. He was mopping up, going away, whistling a happy tune, if you know what I mean.
I encouraged my little girl, then about 6, "Come on, roll acey-deucey." She did. And with acey-deucey, she got her choice of doubles and another roll. Of course she opted for 6-6. Her cousin yawned, his lead still apparently insurmountable.
I yelled again, "Come on, roll acey-deucey." She did. Double sixes it was.
Her cousin's eyes got wider.
I yelled, "Come on, roll acey-deucey." I swear, it happened. Three 1-2's in a row.
Finally, on her next roll, she did NOT roll acey-deucey. No, she rolled 6-6.
Her cousin, 7, jumped up screaming, and cried as he ran away, utterly beaten.
Twenty-four times four is a significant portion of the number necessary to bear off all your men.
So HOW would you determine randomness objectively while playing backgammon?
Better yet, provide a formula for generating random numbers.
And if evaluating whether or not a given number is indeed random, what claim do any of us have on intellectualism, hmmmmm?
My opponent once had three men exposed on his back row. THREE! I was plowing ahead and bearing off, leaving one checker he might hit with a roll of 1-X or X-1. Not to worry. I had three chances to hit him back IF he got me.
Well, he rolled 1-1 and not only hit me, but COVERED every one of his three exposed men in his home row. I was twitterpated. Unfair, I say.
Now this brings to mind a test which I dare say not one of you could pass.
Let me offer up a series of dice rolls as you play backgammon. I will be behind a screen and
roll the dice and then call out the numbers. I may be honest or not.
HOW would you tell, dear physics intellectual, if I were cheating on any given single roll, series of rolls, or all of them? You would have to rely on simplistic statistical tests, as if 6-6 or acey-deucey wouldn't be likely to come up three or four times in a row.
It just so happens that my little girl was playing the acey-deucey variation of backgammon with her cousin some time ago. He was mopping up, going away, whistling a happy tune, if you know what I mean.
I encouraged my little girl, then about 6, "Come on, roll acey-deucey." She did. And with acey-deucey, she got her choice of doubles and another roll. Of course she opted for 6-6. Her cousin yawned, his lead still apparently insurmountable.
I yelled again, "Come on, roll acey-deucey." She did. Double sixes it was.
Her cousin's eyes got wider.
I yelled, "Come on, roll acey-deucey." I swear, it happened. Three 1-2's in a row.
Finally, on her next roll, she did NOT roll acey-deucey. No, she rolled 6-6.
Her cousin, 7, jumped up screaming, and cried as he ran away, utterly beaten.
Twenty-four times four is a significant portion of the number necessary to bear off all your men.
So HOW would you determine randomness objectively while playing backgammon?
Better yet, provide a formula for generating random numbers.
And if evaluating whether or not a given number is indeed random, what claim do any of us have on intellectualism, hmmmmm?