twofish-quant
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ZapperZ said:But you are making guesses here. That is what I have been critical of. Lacking an actual DATA to back your claim, you then not only try to throw holes into it, but you are also making counter claim that seriously lack any kind of data (even weak ones) to back your claim.
If you don't know, then you don't know. If you don't know then you figure out what it is that you need to find out.
This practice is no better than Intelligent Design supporters poking holes at evolution, while they themselves have nothing.
I have nothing wrong with ID people poking holes at evolution. Poking holes is good. Of course just because evolution has holes make have nothing to do with evolution being right, and just because you have a hole doesn't mean that you are wrong.
Also most of my physics experience in statistics, outside of my wife's experience, comes from being near observational cosmologists. Poking wholes at cosmological statistics is a good thing because it tells you where to spend point the telescope next. The typical problem involves looking at galaxies correlation counts and evolutionary data and trying to figure out what the data says and what it doesn't.
I can see if you want to say that MY EXPERIENCE is not the same as so-and-so. You can even use me as a counter example, and I can use my experience to counter yours. But to put your experience on par, or even trump over the statistics, when you're lacking of any to back your claim, is a highly dubious practice.
I don't think it is. If I suddenly get observational statistics that say that the CMB is highly anisotropic, my first reaction is go back over the data and assume that I made some sort of mistake. Usually you can find an obvious mistake in the data processing. If I get statistical data that says the sky is pink, my first reaction is to assume that there is a mistake.
Now what makes me different from a creationist is that I'm not totally dogmatic about it. If I go through my data, and I still can't find an obvious mistake, then I think some more about experiments to perform, and if after going through more experiments, I *still* find a signal, then I'll change my mind.
However, I know from observational cosmology and my wife's work what a statistically strong study looks like and the AIP study ain't it. If the AIP published a statistically strong study and it conflicted with anecdotal data, then I'd likely conclude some reporting bias in the anecdotal data, but because they leave out critical pieces of information and also because I think the question is very badly worded, right now, it's statistically weak.
One thing that people in the social sciences and medicine are quite aware of is that people *do* unconsciously bias statistics because of experience, and there are some pretty cool statistical tests for teasing out this. It's not that people are evil or intentionally trying to mess with stats. It's just that you have to look very carefully at statistical processing to see that.
For someone who is in your profession, you should know better.
I'm not sure how I'm supposed to respond to this.
I will answer it later today.