Solving Normal Random Variable Equations for P(X(X-1) > 2) and P(|X| > a)

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves a normal random variable X with a specified mean and variance. Participants are tasked with finding probabilities related to the expressions P(X(X-1) > 2) and P(|X| > a) for a given value of 'a'.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Problem interpretation

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Some participants express uncertainty about how to begin solving the first part of the problem. Others attempt to rewrite the inequality for P(X(X-1) > 2) in a different form and question what values of X satisfy the resulting expression. For the second part, there are attempts to manipulate the probability expression, but some participants indicate they are stuck and question the correctness of their approach.

Discussion Status

The discussion is ongoing, with participants sharing their attempts and questioning each other's reasoning. Some guidance has been offered, such as suggesting to draw a picture to better understand the problem setup. However, there is no explicit consensus on the methods to be used or the interpretations of the problems.

Contextual Notes

Participants note that they are working under the constraints of a homework assignment, which may limit the information they can use or the methods they can apply. There is also a suggestion to reconsider the approach to the second part of the problem, indicating potential misunderstandings in the initial attempts.

twoski
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Homework Statement



X is a normal random variable with mean 1, variance 4.

1. Find P( X(X-1) > 2 )

2. Find a value 'a' for which P(|X| > a ) = .25


The Attempt at a Solution



I had no idea how to start 1.

For 2, i got this far then got stuck:

P(|X| > a) = 1 - P((X-1)/2 <= (a-1)/2) = 1 - Ф((a-1)/2)
 
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twoski said:

Homework Statement



X is a normal random variable with mean 1, variance 4.

1. Find P( X(X-1) > 2 )

2. Find a value 'a' for which P(|X| > a ) = .25


The Attempt at a Solution



I had no idea how to start 1.

##X^2-X>2## is the same as ##X^2-X-2>0## or ##(X-2)(X+1)>0##. What values of ##X## satisfy that?

For 2, i got this far then got stuck:

P(|X| > a) = 1 - P((X-1)/2 <= (a-1)/2) = 1 - Ф((a-1)/2)

##P(X>|a|)=P(X\le -a)+P(X\ge a)##

Is that enough to get you going?
 
For the 1st bit it's the complement of P(-1<X<2) I think.
 
twoski said:

Homework Statement



X is a normal random variable with mean 1, variance 4.

1. Find P( X(X-1) > 2 )

2. Find a value 'a' for which P(|X| > a ) = .25


The Attempt at a Solution



I had no idea how to start 1.

For 2, i got this far then got stuck:

P(|X| > a) = 1 - P((X-1)/2 <= (a-1)/2) = 1 - Ф((a-1)/2)

This is incorrect; start over, and be more careful. Draw a picture first, before trying to compute anything!
 

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