Mr Xi led the new Politburo Standing Committee out onto the stage at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, signalling his elevation to the top of China's ruling Communist Party.
...
The new leaders had great responsibilities, Mr Xi said, but their mission was to be united, and to lead the party and the people to make the Chinese nation stronger and more powerful.
If reports from the Hong Kong press and China's blogosphere are correct .. If confirmed, long-term investors may have to rethink their core assumption about the future course of China.
No-one, not even the self-appointed experts, knows what will happen next
We saw exactly the same process in the old Soviet Union and Eastern Europe in the late 1980s, as Mikhail Gorbachev's policies of glasnost and perestroika took effect.
No surprise there. But, Xi Jinping doesn't seem to have as much power as the last leader.
Young unemployed males brought down many Arab countries but there were fears of same thing happening in China but it didn't happen. China has strong government and strong military to deal with any future unrest IMO.intelwanderer said:What I see being a problem for China down the road is demographics(aging, and the sex ratio. A whole cohort of unmarried, neglected young males is NOT good for stability, or for that matter foreign relations). I doubt Xi is ignorant of this-so let's see what he does.
That's same with me :tongue2:I can't predict where China will be going in the next decade anymore than I can predict where America will go.
rootX said:This all tells me that China has not only survived the worst time (Arab Spring) but is well equipped to deal with any future unrest.
Actually, I wanted to reply to the aging point too. One thing I was looking at if China healthcare system is sound enough to have six elderly per worker? I found this article, http://www.tm.mahidol.ac.th/seameo/2003_34_4/41-3098.pdf, but couldn't really make a sound conclusion. So, I just decided not to talk about aging.Locrian said:Maybe, but some serious demographic problems haven't yet even arrived; their population is aging and will continue to do so through at least 2030.
One child has two parents which each have two grandparents. Six elderly per worker in the not so distant future. (Okay, not quite that extreme, because the policy wasn't perfectly enforced, but still a large impact)
rootX said:Actually, I wanted to reply to the aging point too. One thing I was looking at if China healthcare system is sound enough to have six elderly per worker? I found this article, http://www.tm.mahidol.ac.th/seameo/2003_34_4/41-3098.pdf, but couldn't really make a sound conclusion. So, I just decided not to talk about aging.
Another thing I also wanted to point that it's my understanding that Chinese parents are supported by their children so government doesn't have to worry about them all by itself. In case of western cultures, parents have to look out for the future by themselves IMO.
Combining my above two opinions, will aging be really a problem speaking on relative scale? I tend to believe that other developed countries have more to worry about aging than China because they have better healthcare and the families are more nuclear than Chinese.
rootX said:Another thing I also wanted to point that it's my understanding that Chinese parents are supported by their children so government doesn't have to worry about them all by itself. In case of western cultures, parents have to look out for the future by themselves IMO.
I disagree. It does matter a lot how the money is getting distributed. If children are supporting his parents rather than just government, the money circulates more hands before it reaches parents. The children contribute to the country when they are earning their money. They have responsibilities that make it harder for them to give up their jobs and go revolt against the government.Borek said:It doesn't matter how the money gets redistributed, it still means 1 person has to support 6.
rootX said:They have responsibilities that make it harder for them to give up their jobs and go revolt against the government.
China's future plans are well known and the real question is how this will shake out politically. They're fighting the same battle as other overpopulated countries like Egypt. Already rivers in northern China are running dry at times, within a few years one of the major aquifers for Beijing is expected to run dry, and within twenty years northern China is expected to become another dustbowl. The value of water used for industrial products is 80 times what it is for agriculture so they've been on the world's largest infrastructure building project for the last several decades in order to mitigate the unfolding disaster as much as possible.
Let's see what Xi's administration accomplishes in the new year.BEIJING (Reuters) - A prominent group of Chinese academics has warned in a bold open letter that the country risks "violent revolution" if the government does not respond to public pressure and allow long-stalled political reforms.
The 73 scholars, including well-known current and retired legal experts at top universities and lawyers, said political reform had not matched the quick pace of economic expansion.
"If reforms to the system urgently needed by Chinese society keep being frustrated and stagnate without progress, then official corruption and dissatisfaction in society will boil up to a crisis point and China will once again miss the opportunity for peaceful reform, and slip into the turbulence and chaos of violent revolution," they wrote.
. . . .
Astronuc said:China academics warn of "violent revolution" if no political reform
http://news.yahoo.com/china-academics-warn-violent-revolution-no-political-reform-041407704.html
Let's see what Xi's administration accomplishes in the new year.
Xi Jinping is a Chinese politician and the current leader of China. He was born on June 15, 1953 in Beijing and is a member of the Chinese Communist Party. He became the leader of China in 2012, after being elected as the General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party and the Chairman of the Central Military Commission.
Xi Jinping is a strong advocate for socialism with Chinese characteristics and has implemented policies such as the "Chinese Dream" and the "Belt and Road Initiative". He also promotes economic reform and opening up to the international community.
Xi Jinping faces challenges such as maintaining economic growth, addressing environmental issues, and managing relationships with other countries, particularly the United States. He also faces pressure to maintain stability and control within the country.
Xi Jinping's leadership style is often compared to that of Mao Zedong, the founding father of the People's Republic of China. However, Xi Jinping has also been criticized for having a more authoritarian approach compared to previous leaders such as Deng Xiaoping and Jiang Zemin.
Under Xi Jinping's leadership, China's economy has continued to grow and the country has become a major player in the global economy. He has also increased China's influence in international affairs, particularly through initiatives such as the Belt and Road Initiative and the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.