ConradDJ said:
Apeiron – I don’t think you’ve gotten to the basic ontological issue here. The problem here isn’t form vs substance – it’s whether possibility should be conceived from the beginning in terms of what’s actual.
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I agree with pretty much everything you say. I would indeed redefine the possible (usually taken to mean logically crisp variety) in terms of a vagueness, a pure potential.
But substance and form are useful to focus on here as they are both generalisations - in complementary directions - which emerge together out of vagueness. As you say, we want to look at what comes out, what is real around us, then infer something about the initial conditions of reality. And if we find a world sharply divided by the dichotomy, the asymmetry of substance and form, then working backwards to the vague beginnings, substance and form will eventually blur back into the same foggy state of nothingness/everythingness that is just a simple potential.
So this is the modern reductionist story vs the vagueness-based alternative.
1) crisp local variety (a collection of atomistic microstates) => emergent macrostates
2) vagueness (a symmetric mix of micro and macro potential) => the dichotomised reality of local substance~global form.
Modal logic would be an example of a discourse which adopts the first formula and so cannot "see" the second.
So how does 2) fit with the question I originally posed?
Is the space of the possible larger than, or equal to, the space of the actual?
You can see that with 1), we are trying to answer things by counting microstates (even if in many worlds and multiverses and stringscapes, we seem to be treating whole worlds as microstates). Which is where things really start to get illogical. In what way can worlds be countable microstates? The premise basic to the modal logic argument is philosophically flawed.
But with 2), the space of the possible is both unbounded (limiteless) and also smaller in some useful sense. The vague is just one kind of thing (so less than the two kinds of things - like substance and form which can separate off from it). Yet it is still larger in the sense that all is still possible (which is no longer true once some dichotomised state becomes crisply actual).
In biology, a seed could grow into a tree with an infinite variety of branching patterns. But once a tree has grown, it is stuck with its history of branching. So were those microstates actually "in" the seed as countable variety. Or were they just a smear of vague potential?
These are frontier questions in philosophy - for philosophers who are responding to the advances in physics, biology and branches of math like chaos theory and dissipative systems.
Anyway, you are very correct in saying this is an anthropic and observer-including approach to possibility and initial conditions thinking.
We have to look at what exists/persists around us - deal with what seems actual - and then project back, generalise, to gain some model of reality's causal origins. This is actually a constraint on our philosophising.
We should imagine no more possibility than what is required to generate our perceptible reality!
So we want to make the actual = the possible. We want a conservation of what exists. A first law of causality. Yet we also need to leave room for the fact of development, a second law of causality in which there is an arrow of time, a direction things go.
So we also want fundamentally to be able to say that possible > actual. That there is an "entropic" slope down which things can run so that change is also natural to the world.
This is the kind of subtlety of thought that is quite beyond academic philosophers still stuck in Newtonian modes of modelling. They have yet to catch up with the second law of thermodynamics. But it has been an issue for decades among my friends who are theoretical biologists for example.
Anyway, we now have a more complex view emerging.
We want the actual to equal the possible in the sense that whatever emerges must be quantitatively a match for what was originally there. If our theory of existence exhibits a principle of conservation, then we know that it is "good". There is a deep reason for requiring our notions of causal origination to show a conservation in some fashion.
But we also must require that our fundamental model has the possibility for change, for development, for qualitative difference. So there must also be some version of a second law, and entropic slope, wired into the causal model, the logic that we think underpins reality as a whole.
The space of the possible is then neither really large nor smaller than the space of the actual. It is larger in having more that is potential. And smaller in being undiffentiated and so not yet separated in at least two directions. Which is where we can see that neither > nor < are symbols that really serve our purpose here. Instead, we may begin to see more deeply what a vagueness actually is. A realm where both larger and smaller have lost their difference, lost their distinction. A realm which is both, and thus neither.
ConradDJ said:
I think of existence as a dialectic between possibility and actuality, each with their own distinct structures. Things can only become actual in a context of relationships that makes that actuality possible; and then what they actually become makes new relationship-contexts possible. “Possibility” in this sense is very different from “logical” possibility – it’s a fundamental aspect of the complex concreteness of what happens in this world as it evolves.
Logical possibility is about the atomisation of form. Seeing reality reduced to information or microstates. This is a useful way to model things because it is simpler. But it relies on us humans filling in the background with our own understandings about observers, contexts, histories, anticipations, etc. The equally crucial stuff that gets left out of the formal model based on crisp local variety - atoms, information, events, possibilities, trajectories.
So ultimately, what gets left out of the conventional modelling becomes mysterious to people.
We have to go back and fix things by including both the local and the global, the substance and the form, the stasis and the change, in the modelling - even the modelling of logic or causality. Or rather, especially in our logic/causal models.