Two independent Poisson processes (one discrete, one continuous)

Click For Summary
SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on analyzing two independent Poisson processes, N1 and N2, with rate parameters λ1 and λ2. The first task is to derive the probability mass function for the number of events in N2 occurring before the first event of N1, which involves creating a third process, N3 = N1 + N2. The second task requires finding the conditional density of the first event of N1 given x events in N2, emphasizing the challenge of combining discrete and continuous random variables. The proposed approach includes calculating the joint distribution and integrating over time to solve the problems.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of Poisson processes and their properties
  • Knowledge of probability mass functions and conditional densities
  • Familiarity with integration techniques in probability theory
  • Concept of mean squared error in statistical predictions
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the derivation of probability mass functions for Poisson processes
  • Learn about conditional probability distributions involving mixed types of random variables
  • Explore integration methods for calculating probabilities in continuous distributions
  • Investigate techniques for minimizing mean squared error in statistical predictions
USEFUL FOR

Mathematicians, statisticians, data scientists, and anyone involved in stochastic processes or probabilistic modeling will benefit from this discussion.

FireSail
Messages
1
Reaction score
0
Hi Guys,
I've used this forum as a great resource for a while now and it's always helped me out. Now I'm really stuck on something and was hoping you guys could help out. It's a pretty long question, but if you guys can just give me a general direction of what to do, I can go ahead and work it out for myself.

-----

Consider two independent Poisson processes N1 and N2 with rate parameters \lambda1 and \lambda2, respectively:

1. Find the prob. mass function for the number of events in N2 that occur before the first event after time 0 of N1 and identify what type of distribution it is.

So far my intuition to is to create a third process, N3 = N1 + N2, and then calculate the probability P(N3<0) from the joint distribution of N1 and N2. But I'm not sure this is the right way to do it.

The second part is trickier: Find the conditional density of the time of the first event after time 0 of N1 given that there are x events in N2 that occur before this first event of N1. Also, for a given x, how should you predict the time of the first event of N1 to minimize the mean squared error of your prediction?

The biggest problem I see is that I'm not sure how you're supposed to come up with a conditional probability if one random variable is discrete and the other is continuous. Can anyone point me in the right direction with this?

Thanks a ton you guys.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
Might try this:
After time t, Probability for one event in process1 to occur over interval dt and N events in process 2 occurring after time t has elapsed should be the product:
λ1 exp(-λ1 t) exp(-λ2 t) (λ2 t)N/N! dt
Integrate over all positive t to get answer to question 1.
 

Similar threads

  • · Replies 12 ·
Replies
12
Views
4K
  • · Replies 7 ·
Replies
7
Views
2K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
1K
Replies
8
Views
3K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
5K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
1K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
2K
  • · Replies 11 ·
Replies
11
Views
2K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
2K
  • · Replies 10 ·
Replies
10
Views
1K