Usefulness of predicting species population

  • Thread starter Thread starter Joppy
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    population
AI Thread Summary
The discussion centers on the significance of estimating species populations using statistical methods, particularly when information is limited. Understanding these estimates is crucial for assessing the impact of human activities, such as deforestation, on wildlife. The conversation highlights the historical context of species loss, particularly large mammals in Africa, and emphasizes the misconception that wildlife resources are infinite. The importance of timely intervention to prevent population crashes is underscored, as these crashes can lead to ecological imbalances, such as deer overpopulation due to the absence of predators. The article also touches on the broader implications of species diversity, particularly in biodiverse regions like the Ghats and Amazon, and the current rate of species loss during the Anthropocene. This loss threatens ecological stability and the potential for future species evolution, making the study of species populations critical for conservation efforts.
Joppy
MHB
Messages
282
Reaction score
22
I recently read this article. It discusses how we can use statistical methods to provide estimates of species population given little information about the actual population and other factors that make up the ecosystem. This is all fine, and i understand the importance of obtaining information about a system given limited information on initial conditions etc.

What I'm not sure i understand is the importance or significance of obtaining an estimate of a population of species, in general. The article talks briefly about how knowledge of this information would allow us to know how much wildlife would be eradicated in deforestation. and also about preserving said wildlife. Which i suppose is pretty significant in and of itself. Maybe since it is not my background i am failing to see that this is indeed very important. But for what it's worth, is there anything else?
 
Biology news on Phys.org
About 100 years ago we started losing large mammal species in Africa. Many of the larger animals in Preserves and Parks are the only extant animals of the species. Nothing was done until there were literally just small groups of them. Mountain gorillas in Uganda are an example. Humans often think of animals as resources that are essentially infinite. And act accordingly. Have you heard of so-called factory ships?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Factory_ship

They are ultra efficient at catching fish. Read the section on overfishing and population collapse. This is the assumption 'resources are infinite' problem.

When populations are on the brink of a crash is the best time to kick into high gear to keep the species going. Why? Because there are often ripple effects of population crashes. Deer in the US are a huge problem in suburban areas. Which is a direct result of the removal of all predators. And environmental change - housing development encroaching on forested land. A deer explosion. Raccoons are in the same category.

So keeping projections of populations can work in our favor in both directions - limiting both crashes and explosions. Simply because we know both going to have "blowback", unintended consequences.
 
  • Like
Likes fresh_42 and Joppy
The article is about the number of species in an ecosystem.
They are talking about rather large areas (like the Ghats or Amazon), which to me seem like more than one ecosystem, but I'm not a ecologist.
At first I though you were talking about the number of individuals in a species's population which has deals with different questions, but its the number of species.

To an ecologist, I would guess, this is interesting because its a major question ecologists would like to be able to predict (described in the article).

The numbers of species in species rich areas (like the Ghats and Amazon) contribute significantly to the Earth's overall number of species.
It has been said that the Earth is now in the arthropocene (humans leaving long term markers in the geological record) and that the Earth is now losing species at a great rate.
Loss of species numbers is thought to be limiting to ecological robustness and future evolution of new species (it takes species to make new species).

There are probably other ways this is significant.
 
  • Like
Likes Joppy
Deadly cattle screwworm parasite found in US patient. What to know. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/health/2025/08/25/new-world-screwworm-human-case/85813010007/ Exclusive: U.S. confirms nation's first travel-associated human screwworm case connected to Central American outbreak https://www.reuters.com/business/environment/us-confirms-nations-first-travel-associated-human-screwworm-case-connected-2025-08-25/...
Chagas disease, long considered only a threat abroad, is established in California and the Southern U.S. According to articles in the Los Angeles Times, "Chagas disease, long considered only a threat abroad, is established in California and the Southern U.S.", and "Kissing bugs bring deadly disease to California". LA Times requires a subscription. Related article -...
I am reading Nicholas Wade's book A Troublesome Inheritance. Please let's not make this thread a critique about the merits or demerits of the book. This thread is my attempt to understanding the evidence that Natural Selection in the human genome was recent and regional. On Page 103 of A Troublesome Inheritance, Wade writes the following: "The regional nature of selection was first made evident in a genomewide scan undertaken by Jonathan Pritchard, a population geneticist at the...
Back
Top