What Are the Conditions for Prob(wx + y < c) ≈ Prob(wx < c) as w → ∞?

jillna
Messages
2
Reaction score
0
Given two random variables x and y, and a constant c

What conditions are needed to make:

Prob( w x + y &lt; c ) \approx Prob( w x &lt; c ), \text{ for } w \rightarrow \infty

Can anyone help? I think E(x) &lt; \infty and E(y) &lt; \infty might do. Is this right?

tks!
 
Last edited:
Physics news on Phys.org
I think you need the expected value of y an order of magnitude less than E(x).
 
In the limit as w \rightarrow \infty I believe they are always equal. I will use the probability density functions (f(x),f(y), and f(x,y)) to give my reasoning.

P(wx &lt; c) = P(x &lt; c/w) = P(x &lt; 0) in the limit of w \rightarrow \infty
= \int_{-\infty}^{0}f(x)dx = \int_{-\infty}^{0}\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}f(x,y)dydx

To calculate the probability you have to add up the region of the density for which wx+y < c, which can be achieved by integrating for each x from y=-infinity to the line y=-wx+c:

P(wx +y &lt; c) = \int_{-\infty}^{\infty}\int_{-\infty}^{-wx+c}f(x,y)dydx

In the limit this becomes the y-axis, so we actually have in this case:
= \int_{-\infty}^{0}\int_{-\infty}^{\infty}f(x,y)dydx = \int_{-\infty}^{0}f(x)dx

and so they are equivalent.
 
Namaste & G'day Postulate: A strongly-knit team wins on average over a less knit one Fundamentals: - Two teams face off with 4 players each - A polo team consists of players that each have assigned to them a measure of their ability (called a "Handicap" - 10 is highest, -2 lowest) I attempted to measure close-knitness of a team in terms of standard deviation (SD) of handicaps of the players. Failure: It turns out that, more often than, a team with a higher SD wins. In my language, that...
Hi all, I've been a roulette player for more than 10 years (although I took time off here and there) and it's only now that I'm trying to understand the physics of the game. Basically my strategy in roulette is to divide the wheel roughly into two halves (let's call them A and B). My theory is that in roulette there will invariably be variance. In other words, if A comes up 5 times in a row, B will be due to come up soon. However I have been proven wrong many times, and I have seen some...
Back
Top