What is the probability of a tie when two individuals flip biased coins?

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SUMMARY

The probability of a tie when two individuals flip biased coins is determined by the individual probabilities of heads, denoted as p1 for the boy and p2 for the girl. To find this probability, one must define a random variable based on the number of flips until heads appears. A suggested approach is to initially assume equal probabilities (p=0.5) for both individuals to simplify calculations, then derive the expected number of flips before obtaining heads. Finally, substituting the specific probabilities p1 and p2 will yield the desired probability of a tie.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of random variables in probability theory
  • Knowledge of biased coin flipping and probability calculations
  • Familiarity with expected value concepts
  • Basic skills in mathematical problem-solving
NEXT STEPS
  • Research how to calculate expected values for biased coin flips
  • Learn about conditional probability and its applications
  • Explore the concept of random variables in probability theory
  • Study the implications of different probabilities in independent events
USEFUL FOR

Students studying probability theory, particularly those tackling problems involving biased coins and random variables. This discussion is beneficial for anyone looking to enhance their understanding of probability calculations and expected outcomes.

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Homework Statement



boy and girl independently flip each a biased coin with probability of heads p1 for boy, and p2 for girl. they record the number of flips needed until heads shows up.

what is the probability that they tie?

Homework Equations



I just know that we should define a random variable to condition on.

The Attempt at a Solution



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First of all, the question is not clear.
"they record the number of flips needed until heads show up"
How many heads we are talking about?
do they stop recording when the first head appears?

In any case, here is hint..
why don't you start with the same probabilities for the boy and the girl, maybe with some number like (p=0.5) . Then find out the expected number of flips until a head shows up.. At this point, you'll be able to compute the desired probability.

Go back the question and plug the p_1, p_2 to get your answer
 
also you should post in the math forum, because you are in the wrong forum right now.
the forum is one level above this one and its called precalculus mathematics
 

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