What is the success rate for becoming a physics professor?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the success rate of physics PhDs in becoming professors, exploring statistics on the aspirations of physics PhDs to enter academia and the actual percentage that achieve faculty positions. It includes considerations of job market dynamics, salary expectations, and the time investment required to secure a professorship.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants inquire about statistics regarding the percentage of physics PhDs who aspire to become professors and the percentage that actually do.
  • One participant suggests that while data exists, it requires effort to compile, involving the comparison of faculty positions available to the number of graduating PhDs.
  • Another participant mentions monitoring job advertisements in various publications to gauge the number of faculty positions available annually in the US.
  • Concerns are raised about the lengthy process of becoming a professor, which may take an additional 5 to 10 years post-PhD, and the necessity of tenure and faculty votes.
  • Data from a linked article suggests a rough ratio of 10:1 regarding the number of PhDs to faculty positions, prompting questions about the goals of PhD candidates.
  • Salary disparities are noted, with instructors earning significantly less than those with the title of "Professor," which raises questions about the financial viability of pursuing an academic career.
  • One participant shares anecdotal evidence from a conversation indicating that only about 1 in 4 theoretical physics PhDs from a prestigious program secure permanent positions, highlighting the competitive nature of the field.
  • Another participant references previous calculations by a known blogger, suggesting variability in success rates across different fields within physics.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express varying views on the statistics and realities of becoming a physics professor, with no consensus reached on specific success rates or the implications of the data discussed.

Contextual Notes

Limitations include the lack of comprehensive statistics on the aspirations of physics PhDs and the dependence on specific definitions of faculty positions and job market conditions.

njhajj
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To be more specific, are there any statistics on the percentage of physics PHDs who want to become professors, and the percentage that actually do become professors?
 
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njhajj said:
To be more specific, are there any statistics on the percentage of physics PHDs who want to become professors,

I don't believe so.

njhajj said:
and the percentage that actually do become professors?

That exists, but it will take some legwork. You need to find how many faculty positions there are, divide by the number of years they work, and compare to the number of graduating PhD's.
 
By monitoring the physics job advertisements on the APS web site, in Physics Today, or in the Chronicle of Higher Education, you can find out how many faculty positions are advertised during a year in the US. I don't know if anyone has summarized this data somewhere.
 
Last edited:
njhajj said:
To be more specific, are there any statistics on the percentage of physics PHDs who want to become professors, and the percentage that actually do become professors?

Are you asking this because you feel that you won't make it? If you feel this then there is good reason. You will need more then just a PHD to be considered a university professor. I remember looking into this before and it takes an extra 5 to 10 years after you receive your PHD to actually become a professor at a university. I don't remember exactly the process you go through but you are required to have a tenure and be voted in by the staff members. It's a pretty long process and it must be something you really enjoy doing. If not, you could always just work in the private sector.
 
There is some data here:

http://pubs.acs.org/cen/topstory/7947/7947sci2.html

and I'm sure all the professional societies keep records as well. Crudely, it looks like about 10:1. Of course, this begs the question "what fraction of PhDs have a goal to become faculty?"
 
I never realized this before but I did some research a while back and found out that instructors with a PHD at a university only receive 40k a year. You have to have the title "Professor" to get paid the big bucks. Average salary is around 90k and up.
 
http://infoproc.blogspot.com/2008/09/survivor-theoretical-physics.html

A top 50 department (in the world) produces 3-5 PhDs a year in theoretical physics. If most of them only place a student every 5 years or so, that means the majority of their students end up doing something else!

One day in the theory lounge at LBNL Mahiko Suzuki (PhD, University of Tokyo) told me and some other shocked grad students and postdocs that about 1 in 4 theory PhDs from Berkeley would get permanent positions. His estimate was remarkably accurate.
 
I remember Peter Woit at his blog did some of these calculations with regularity years ago. It was always astonishing.

Though I'd like to note this undoubtedly varies at least a little by field.
 
mal4mac said:
http://infoproc.blogspot.com/2008/09/survivor-theoretical-physics.html

A top 50 department (in the world) produces 3-5 PhDs a year in theoretical physics. If most of them only place a student every 5 years or so, that means the majority of their students end up doing something else!

One day in the theory lounge at LBNL Mahiko Suzuki (PhD, University of Tokyo) told me and some other shocked grad students and postdocs that about 1 in 4 theory PhDs from Berkeley would get permanent positions. His estimate was remarkably accurate.

It should be noted that this is only for high energy theoretical physics.
 

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