Chronos said:
... The idea that the Universe may have appeared out of nothing and contains zero net energy, was first suggested by Edward Tryon in the 1970s. He proposed it might have appeared out of nothing as a vacuum fluctuation allowed by quantum theory. Steven Hawking, among others, has since echoed this sentiment. ...
Chronos it occurs to me that we may be seeing the beginnings of an interesting discussion among quantum cosmologists
and one to which observational evidence may eventually be applied.
1. On the one hand there is quite an upsurge of work in LQC (what looks like exponential growth of postings at arxiv with a lot of new people entering the field) and in Loop cosmology one sees a real bounce, from a real contraction phase prior to the onset of expansion.
The prior does not have to represent a comparable amount of energy because there will be inflation, but it does not have to represesnt precisely zero either. It can be the collapse of a stellarmass black hole or it can be the contraction of a universe. But whether small or large, Loop extrapolates back and sees something there.
People are busy on the phenomenology end trying to determine what traces in the CMB to look for. the 3 recent talks by Parampreet Singh summarizing recent papers by a number of people are a good survey of that.
If the real bounce models are wrong then it may be possible to prove that they are wrong. But there is another part of the story as well:
2. On the other hand there is Hawking and Hartle and Villenkin and that group going back to the 1980s with the "Euclidean Path Integral" or "Euclidean Quantum Gravity", and the idea of the universe arising from a little accidental hiccup.
Oh excuse me, it says, and makes a little fluctuation...and the rest is history.
And this rather (to me) vague notion has been revitalized and given a very concrete form by Ambjorn Jurkiewicz and Loll and the Causal Dynamical Triangulations (CDT) model.
CDT doesn't have a prior contraction.
======
so we have two strong competitors with very specific models of what used to be called "big bang"
both models are singularity-free
both groups of authors use the word bounce (but I don't see the AJL model doing a real bounce, as I picture what a proper bounce is, I see it more as an accidental self-creative hiccup)
one model says there was something there which contracted, and it says how to extrapolate back to it----and it explains how inflation starts, at bouncetime, without finetuning.
the other model does NOT see a prior contracting stage! AJL and Hawking before them do NOT have that. So it seems to me there is a real difference and a possible contest
The division is not perfectly clearcut. Some LQG people may not agree with Bojowald and the Loop cosmologists and they may not think it is meaningful to talk about a prior contracting stage, but that is something that the Loop people will have to work out. Right now the ranks of the Loop cosmologists are growing.
An important factor in both the LQC and the CDT is that they have actual models of where the "singularity" used to be, models they can program and that they run in the computer with various choices to see what if any difference, and so on. Both are very concrete approaches in this.
Another complication is that LQC is a minisuperspace version (but it behaves very well in the semiclassical limit----it approximates classical Friedmann behavior once it gets away from the bouncetime) and CDT is more of a full model.