Sorry this has turned out long...
Hurkyl said:
Don't forget that MWI is one of the few interpretations that doesn't require unitary evolution to be violated.
You're talking about interpretations that claim QM is a complete picture? I don't think it is a complete picture.
What do you mean by that? In most interpretations, the quantum state space can be factored into Hilbert spaces, state vectors written in a measurement basis, and probabilities assigned to the components through some rule, such as the Born rule. And, if I recall, with a mild assumption of continuity, this is consistent with the frequentist interpretation of probabilities.
And, incidentally, there is no reason why the rule needs to be derivable from whatever your favorite set of 'first principles' is. (But, anyways, I think the Born rule is derivable from the fact that we want the probabilities to be consistent with the "expected value" interpretation of the application of an operator to a quantum state)
Well the main thing is that we're agreed probability does need an interpretation. You suggest a frequentist interpretation. I don't quite see how that works. Take the claim (1): "There is a probability of 0.9 that, when I take my measurement, that nucleus is going to be found to have decayed".
How do we account for this with a frequentist interpretation? We can't. It is a single instance. To make things worse, suppose that it is the only nucleus of its kind currently in existence. There is no actual-world "frequency" to appeal to.
A common strategy is therefore to appeal somehow to what
would happen if the measurement were to be repeated in identical circumstances (even if this is impossible in practice). I think this is best called a
propensity interpretation. The nucleus has a real, physical, indeterministic
propensity of 0.9 to decay. Articulating the idea of a propensity has proved tricky, but in any case it can't work for MWI.
MWI claims that each world is a deterministic world, so the propensity interpretation as articulated above can't work here. In @, it is already determined that the nucleus must decay (a propensity of 1) or that it must not decay (a propensity of 0). We don't know which, but, objectively speaking, the outcome is predetermined.
A response available to the advocate of MWI is to talk about
subjective probabilities. On this view a probability is a
rational degree of belief. They then say that this subjective probability for the decay is equal to the total proportion of all worlds (of the "many") in which the decay occurs. Now, sentence (1) means something like: "It is rational for me to believe with 90% confidence that the nucleus will be found to have decayed."
Sounds good... or does it?
First problem: Under MWI, there are many worlds in which the nucleus will be found have decayed, and many worlds in which the nucleus will be found to have not decayed. And each of those different real worlds contains a different real me doing the observing. Does it make sense for me to talk about
my rational degree of belief? Well maybe. After all, I am ignorant as to which world the post-measurement me will find itself in, so perhaps my degree of belief is rational in my position of ignorance (applying a "principle of indifference").
Second problem: Suppose that, in some kind of freakish Schrodinger's cat setup, I die if the nucleus decays. Now, after measurement, there will only be a me in the worlds where the nucleus does not decay. So what's my rational degree of belief now? 0? After all, I am certain that I will end up in a world in which the nucleus hasn't decayed!
So I think this interpretation of probability fails too. MWI fails with it, if we insist that the idea of probability must make sense in QM. As ever with philosophy, different people will take have different views. I think MWI is unforgivably wacky, though I can see it inspiring some great sci-fi.
Is your complaint about the state space description of the universe, or simply the words that people who study MWI have chosen to describe states?

(or something else entirely)
I mean that no one can provide an adequate account of "splitting". But I think there might be versions of MWI that don't mention splitting.
I agree that, to someone who refuses to consider anything violating his preconceived ideas about the universe, something that violates his preconceived ideas about the universe won't be useful. But that doesn't mean it's useless to the rest of us!
(Incidentally, I really don't see why you think it challenges the notion of "rational belief", rather than merely challenging our ideas about the nature of the universe)
I think you probably (haha) misunderstood my use of "rational belief" there - I hope my mention of it in the context of interpretations of probability cleared that up.