dwarde
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Wordle 1,361 4/6




















Why use a seed word including F, such a rare occurring letter?OmCheeto said:DRATS! Had I waited for @Orodruin 's spreadsheet to finish its work, its choice for my second word would have left only the solution, and hence, the game in 3. Though I'm not sure if that's just a fluke/feature of the spreadsheet whereby it limits the number of words analyzed to 103, and my choice, SOUTH, was eliminated.
OmCheeto method
FILER 145 left
SOUTH 5 left: BANJO, ANNOY, KNOWN,
AMONG 1 left
MANGO
Orodruin method, with word limit feature
FILER 145 left
MOUTH 1 left
MANGO
So it would have just been dumb luck to get it in 3, as I believe SOUTH was statistically the better choice.
ps. My current set of 26 seed words are all anagrams from my top 100 ranked seed words.
Three here. Was between my second guess and the solution … again …OmCheeto said:Wordle 1,363 2/6
All luck. Only two choices after the seed.
Well dag nabbit, had Orodruin and I realized that your most Probable method indicated that 'P' takes Precedence over other letters, we'd both have shaved a guess off our lists.jack action said:Wordle 1,364 3/6
[ARISE] 9 left: BIBLE BILGE CUTIE DIODE GENIE IMBUE LIEGE NIECE PIECE
[LIEGE] filter - 2 left: NIECE PIECE
[PIECE] most probable (because of the P)
most-probable method count update (Success/Fail): 67/35 - 65.7%/34.3%
No, you would not have, because the N was a popular letter that would have helped you eliminate an answer. I also hesitated between your second guess and mine. But once stuck choosing between P and N only, the choice was obvious to me. P is less popular than N, so it was the "challenging" letter of the word. There seem to always be one lately.OmCheeto said:Well dag nabbit, had Orodruin and I realized that your most Probable method indicated that 'P' takes Precedence over other letters, we'd both have shaved a guess off our lists.
The issue I have is that you seem to have a lot of internal rules that differ wildly from case to case. Ranging from ”contains P” to ”is a positive sounding word” (sometimes debatably so). This makes it all seem pretty arbitrary.jack action said:With this method, having 67 successes out of 102 trials (and the percentage doesn't change much the further I test it), there is only about a 1 in 1003 odd that you can get at least this outcome with a perfectly random coin toss. I guess I'm doing something right.
The key is to imagine that the word is selected by a human being. Every human has a pattern. The pattern can change, but there is still one. The pattern may change because the human was changed. It doesn't matter.Orodruin said:The issue I have is that you seem to have a lot of internal rules that differ wildly from case to case. Ranging from ”contains P” to ”is a positive sounding word” (sometimes debatably so). This makes it all seem pretty arbitrary.
What you have shown is that something you are doing is singling out correct solutions more often than not. The problem is we don’t know which part it is (or if there are several factors) until you can break the data down for different causes.